A few days back, I suggested that the startling rise in TASER International's
As it turns out, I was too optimistic.
Shocking news! TASER's unprofitable!
Calculating the profits TASER could earn on nearly $4 million in extra sales, I had assumed the company could at least apply its historical 0.18% net profit margin to these sales. After all, if low-tech gunsmith Sturm, Ruger
Instead, TASER's earnings report showed:
- A 26% drop in quarterly sales, year over year.
- Weakening gross margin, down 730 basis points to 51.7%.
- Selling, general, and administrative savings that fell far short of the reduction in sales.
As a result, TASER booked both operating and net losses for the quarter. For the year, TASER ended up losing $0.07 per share -- not even a 0.18% net profit margin, but an out-and-out loss. (For the record, TASER also lost money from the perspective of free cash flow. Despite showing a small rise in operating cash flow, and cutting capex to the bone, the company ended the year with free cash flow likely around negative $3.3 million.)
Strike 1 … strike 2 … home run?
But could this current trend reverse itself? Perhaps. Management does have good things to say about the reception its new "X3" repeat-fire stungun is receiving. Apparently, the Arizona Department of Public Safety just maxed out an order for 1,000 units. (TASER calls it "the largest single purchase of TASER X3 ECDs.") At nearly twice the price of TASER's lower-tech devices, the X3 could give a powerful punch to profitability if widely adopted.
For now, though, it's just $1.8 million worth of revenue to a profitless company.
Think I'm wrong? Want to prove it? Click over to Motley Fool CAPS and go on record in favor of TASER -- then add the stock to your Fool Watchlist, to make sure when the good news arrives, you're first in line to hear it.
Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of, nor is he short, any company named above. Check out his latest stock recommendations on Motley Fool CAPS. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.