I want to say one word to you. Just one word. Are you listening?
Sorry, couldn't help myself. News broke today that General Electric
Like Dustin Hoffman's character in the same film, GE wants its future to be ... different. It doesn't want to be involved in a commoditized business, as the plastics biz has become over the decades. GE is getting out of these low-growth sectors, putting more priority on areas such as infrastructure, health care, and finance. I think the infrastructure play is the one to watch going forward. In delivering clean water and reliable energy supplies to countries beginning to experience industrial revolutions on a massive scale, GE will have a very full order book.
So what will GE do with the $9 billion it's netting post-tax? Jump on the buyback bandwagon, of course. Businesses are in a tight spot these days -- global assets aren't cheap, so acquisitions are a dicey prospect. At the same time, it's also hard to justify sitting on a large cash pile, and that's why companies as varied as American Eagle Outfitters
Buybacks keep the market happy, but they may not be the wisest use of capital today, given that we arguably hit peak earnings back in the fourth quarter. While the specific companies I've mentioned are of high quality, I'm not terribly optimistic about how this buyback game will play out.
In short, I have mixed feelings about the news today. I'm happy with GE's decision to sell, and with the price it got on the deal, but I'm not convinced that the market is mispricing the company to such a degree that a share buyback is justified.
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Fool contributor Toby Shute's wonderful grandmother is a former GE lunch lady. He doesn't have a direct beneficial interest in the shares she earned as an employee. American Eagle is a Stock Advisor selection. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.