Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Lukewarm on Lukoil

By Toby Shute – Updated Apr 5, 2017 at 5:39PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Lots of oil, lots of uncertainty when it comes to this Russian giant.

After Sasol's (NYSE:SSL) brief departure from the trend, we're back to the land of grimacing oil giants. On Wednesday we learned Russian heavyweight OAO Lukoil's (OTCBB: LUKOY) first-half results, and they tell a tale of another company running just to stay in place.

Don't get me wrong. Results looked quite strong on the face of it. Quarterly sales and earnings hit new records, and they looked particularly strong on a sequential basis. Compared to the first quarter, sales were up 28% and net income nearly doubled. The jump was due, in part, to a lag on the adjustment of taxes linked to the price of oil. In other words, crude prices jumped and the tariff hasn't caught up yet.

Zooming out to first-half comparisons, though, reveals a greater-than-20% rise in per-barrel lifting costs accompanied by little better than a 4% output boost. Not that Lukoil has all that great an incentive to ramp up domestic flows, mind you. In 2006, the firm's effective tax rate was an astonishing 77%.

To avoid exorbitant export taxes, Lukoil needs to look abroad for new wells. That's an expensive proposition for the company: International exploration and production capital expenditures were up over 50% for the first half. This also goes directly against Lukoil's comparative advantage -- the fact that it sits on the second-largest reserves of any oil company anywhere.

Not only does Lukoil have a rough go at the taxation turnstile; it's also facing regulatory scrutiny from the Russian Natural Resources Ministry. You thought this kind of heat was only put to the feet of foreigners? The fact is that while Lukoil may be a cash cow for the Russian government, it isn't owned by the Russian government. Insiders alone hold over 25% of the company, while U.S.-based ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) holds a 20% stake. As my Foolish colleague David Lee Smith has noted, the Russian government is far more interested in creating a state-controlled giant. Lukoil isn't seeing anything remotely like favorable treatment.

Given the political and regulatory environment, Lukoil's discount to the value of its reserves is understandable. Fools would be better off looking at firms with unshakeable state backing, such as PetroChina (NYSE:PTR) and Petrobras (NYSE:PBR), if they're looking for international energy clout. Lukoil's claim on its reserves simply looks too tenuous, given Russia's recent bad habits.

Related Foolishness:

Sasol is a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Try the market-beating service free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Toby Shute doesn't have a position in any company mentioned. Petrobras is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. The Motley Fool has an unshakeable disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

ConocoPhillips Stock Quote
ConocoPhillips
COP
$99.20 (-1.38%) $-1.39
PetroChina Company Limited Stock Quote
PetroChina Company Limited
PTR
$41.00 (-4.73%) $-2.04
Sasol Limited Stock Quote
Sasol Limited
SSL
$15.91 (-2.63%) $0.43
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Stock Quote
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
PBR
$12.16 (-3.11%) $0.39

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.