Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Get Out Now!

By Tim Hanson – Updated Nov 10, 2016 at 5:44PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Some very smart people are saying some very scary things.

I've successfully scared the heck out of some of you with predictions of the dollar's looming demise.

Yet I've not said it nearly as forcefully as Swiss banker Dr. Konrad Hummler. Here's what he wrote in his recent Wegelin Investment Commentary: "It's time to take advantage of the recovery of the U.S. dollar to get one's currency diversification in order."

Read between the lines. He's telling you the dollar is going down . . . hard.

But don't just take my -- or Dr. Hummler's -- word for it
But we're not the only ones giving such advice. If you've been paying attention, then you know that Warren Buffett came out against the dollar in an August New York Times editorial.

And Hummler, in his commentary, points out two other investing luminaries who have taken high-profile stands against the dollar:

  • "Bill Gross of Pacific Investment Management Co. (PIMCO), which manages the biggest bond fund in the world, advises investors to sell dollar investments 'before the central banks and sovereign wealth funds do.'"
  • "[C]ommodities specialist Jim Rogers . . . announces his new favorite currency -- the Chinese yuan."

Now, you can heed these words of warning, or you can stick to your U.S. investing guns. But allow me to suggest that the latter is an irrational position.

After all, there's limited downside to diversifying into great companies that do business outside of the United States. There is, however, significant downside to investing in nothing but dollar-denominated investments.

It'd be crazy to stash your entire life's savings in one company. It's just as crazy to stash your entire life's savings in one currency.

But there's opportunity in the meantime
Despite the dollar's precarious, debt-laden position, the currency is in a pretty good place relative to other world currencies -- thanks to investors having abandoned emerging markets for perceived financial safe havens during the recent financial crisis.

In other words, should you opt to sell some of your dollar-denominated investments (like U.S. stocks) and buy investments that are denominated in Chinese yuan, Brazilian real, South African rand, and so on and so forth (like foreign stocks), you have stronger purchasing power today than you'll likely have in 6 or 12 months.

In other words, this is a temporary opportunity. But there's still time to take advantage.

Have a look at this table
To make this simple, I've put together a quick chart of popular U.S. investments and their foreign counterparts -- all of which are recommended by Motley Fool Global Gains and which offer similar advantages with significantly more foreign currency exposure.

If you own...

You should look at...

Altria (NYSE:MO)

Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM)

AT&T (NYSE:T) or Verizon (NYSE:VZ)

Telkom Indonesia (NYSE:TLK)

Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN)

CNOOC (NYSE:CEO)

These are all solid companies with somewhat similar profiles -- because what makes a good company outside of the United States isn't at all different from what makes a good company inside the United States.

Altria and Philip Morris, for example, both sell a top-notch brand, pay a hefty dividend, and generate significant recurring cash flows. Furthermore, because foreign economies are smaller than the U.S. economy, you'll often find that in a sector like telecom, you can find a company with far more market share than anything you'd find in the U.S. (which is another good thing).

So, again, don't change your approach when you go searching for stocks abroad -- simply change your purview.

At the end of the day, however, the most important point is that the stocks on the right will make sure that your life's savings aren't 100% aligned with the health of the dollar. Konrad Hummler, Warren Buffett, Bill Gross, Jim Rogers, and I all think that's a very smart move.

Sufficiently freaked out?
If you're worried about the dollar, and you want more compelling international investment opportunities, click here to join us at Global Gains with a free 30-day guest membership. You'll enjoy access to all of our premium research and stock picks with no obligation to subscribe.

Already subscribe to Global Gains? Log in at the top of this page.

Tim Hanson is co-advisor of Motley Fool Global Gains. He owns shares of Philip Morris International. Philip Morris, Telkom Indonesia, and CNOOC are all market-beating Motley Fool Global Gains recommendations. Telekom Indonesia is also an Income Investor choice. Enter the Fool's disclosure policy.

None

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Altria Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Altria Group, Inc.
MO
$41.47 (-0.52%) $0.21
Verizon Communications Inc. Stock Quote
Verizon Communications Inc.
VZ
$38.97 (-1.40%) $0.55
AT&T Inc. Stock Quote
AT&T Inc.
T
$15.70 (-1.94%) $0.31
Philip Morris International Inc. Stock Quote
Philip Morris International Inc.
PM
$90.42 (-1.49%) $-1.36
CNOOC Limited Stock Quote
CNOOC Limited
CEO
Devon Energy Corporation Stock Quote
Devon Energy Corporation
DVN
$55.66 (-3.51%) $-2.02
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Stock Quote
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
TLK
$28.82 (0.37%) $0.10

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.