Last week I flagged companies such as Overstock
Trex manufactures a non-wood decking and railing called, you guessed it, Trex. This unique wood supplement can be used anywhere from your local dock to your outdoor patio. Trex has the appearance and workability of wood, but while wood requires sealants and maintenance to extend its life, Trex requires no attention. These attractive features are fueling sales.
Americans need a place to set up a cooler full of Anheuser-Busch's Budweiser
In its third-quarter results we find some mouthwatering numbers. Quarterly net sales of $64.4 million were 56% above those of the same period a year ago. Likewise, its earnings of $7.1 million were up 39% year over year. Trex also sports a healthy balance sheet with cash and equivalents of $61.9 million and debt of $54 million. Additionally, the company has forecast sales and earnings growth for 2005 of 20% to 25%.
The company growth guidance will help in determining whether this is a good time to buy. Since Trex's weakest period is the fourth quarter, establishing a run rate of structural free cash flow (SFCF) will do little good. A more accurate picture of its owner earnings (SFCF) is obtained by using a trailing 12-month (TTM) figure. We find the company has TTM SFCF of $22.4 million. With its enterprise value of $672.7 million, the company is trading at 30 times its TTM SFCF.
Using a 25% growth rate Trex appears to be fully valued. However, given the infancy of its relationship with the King Kong of hardware retailers, Home Depot
Tom Gardner recommended Trex for Motley Fool Stock Advisor subscribers in the November 2003 issue. Since Tom highlighted the company, its shares have risen 44% versus the S&P 500's 14% gain. Subscribe today risk-free for six months to learn which other stocks have made the cut.
Fool contributor Jeremy MacNealy does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned.