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When 4% Is Not a Good Yield

By W.D. Crotty – Updated Nov 16, 2016 at 1:23PM

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ConAgra's tax error makes a big dent in last year's income and leads to disappointing preliminary quarter results.

It was one year ago tomorrow that I was making a case for food giant ConAgra (NYSE:CAG) on the basis of its generous 4% dividend yield. Well, that's partly right. I did conclude that investors might want to look elsewhere if they were looking for value and capital appreciation. To be sure, it's total return that counts; not just dividend income.

Well, ConAgra had a real surprise for shareholders this morning. The company has "discovered errors in previously reported amounts related to income tax matters." This tax error (which will lead to results from fiscal 2003 and 2004 being restated) is estimated to be $150 million to $200 million. That's no rounding error, and, besides being a lot of greenbacks (even for ConAgra), that's equal to 19.5% to 26.1% of last year's net income.

ConAgra can now be used as the poster child for why the U.S. needed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. All the complaints about the law being too cumbersome and expensive blow up when a giant like ConAgra doesn't have the internal controls (which is what the act is all about) to catch accounting errors that may average $100 million a year. Yes, the act was borne out of the Enron and WorldCom calamities, but ConAgra has also proven that internal controls are lacking at companies other than the likes of those two.

Because of the error, the company released preliminary results for the latest quarter. Sales, up 1% from the year-ago quarter, continue to be anemic; income from continuing operations before income taxes (funny to state it that way, isn't it?) was equal to last year, as the company contends with higher materials costs and explores price increases as a means of contending.

The company says its long-term goal is to improve margins and return on capital. That makes sense because its operating margins are half those at Kraft (NYSE:KFT) and even below those at Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation Sara Lee (NYSE:SLE), which is in the midst of a restructuring to help it achieve better performance.

Of particular concern to the income-oriented investor, ConAgra's dividend payout ratio of 72% is based on overstated net income. The company's lackluster operating results should curtail dividend increases short-term, while also impeding total return.

Conservative investors wanting income might want to consider Motley FoolIncome Investor recommendation H.J. Heinz (NYSE:HNZ). Its 3.2% yield only consumes 50% of net income -- leaving plenty of money to invest back into the business. Those looking for much faster growth should consider Motley FoolHidden Gems recommendation Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP). It pays a 2.6% dividend that consumes only 32% of net income.

Fool contributor W.D. Crotty does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned but is known to consume their products in abundance. Click here to see The Motley Fool's disclosure policy .

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Stocks Mentioned

Kraft Foods Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Kraft Foods Group, Inc.
KRFT.DL
Conagra Brands, Inc. Stock Quote
Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG
$34.00 (-1.02%) $0.35
Kraft Heinz Intermediate Corporation II Stock Quote
Kraft Heinz Intermediate Corporation II
HNZ
The Hillshire Brands Company Stock Quote
The Hillshire Brands Company
HSH.DL
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. Stock Quote
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
FDP
$24.45 (0.20%) $0.05

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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