Motley Fool Inside Value
selection Wal-Mart
One of this morning's big bugaboos: Wal-Mart's warning that higher energy costs will affect its financial performance the rest of the year. This shouldn't shock anyone -- higher energy costs will hit many companies this year, particularly those vulnerable to the price of oil. But I can think of only a few retailers, including Target
Investors have also been fretting about Wal-Mart's inventory management. Inventory did increase at approximately the same rate as sales in the last two quarters of fiscal 2005. However, the company's inventory performance improved this quarter. By historical measures, Wal-Mart's inventory turns, days inventory outstanding, and cash conversion cycle have remained well within its normal range from the last few years.
Lastly, it's worth noting that Wal-Mart was free cash flow-positive (that's cash flow from operations minus capital expenditures) in its first quarter. That rarely happens for the company in its first quarter, when sales and earnings are slowest, yet capital expenditures for expansion remain consistent. Few companies spend on capital expenditures like Wal-Mart does, but few have its potential to open as many stores and convert stores to larger formats, either.
Those capital expenditures make valuing Wal-Mart especially interesting. Like Costco
Doing a rough cut on the numbers myself, and making adjustments for some of the aforementioned strategic choices that Wal-Mart is making, I'm beginning to like the valuation the market has currently assigned it. With a little more work and validation of my estimates, I might even consider purchasing some shares.
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Nathan Parmelee owns shares in Costco, but has no financial interest in any of the other companies mentioned. Costco is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. The Motley Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy .