What is next for data center revenue?
Forward guidance points to continued growth in data center revenue and infrastructure spending. For example:
- Nvidia guided for total revenue of $91 billion for its quarter ending July 26, 2026. It expects Vera Rubin platform production shipments to begin later in 2026.
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company has visibility to $1 trillion in Blackwell and Vera Rubin sales from 2025 through calendar 2027.
- Broadcom expects AI chip sales to more than double year over year for the quarter ending August 2, 2026, reaching $16.0 billion, and has guided AI semiconductor revenue to $56 billion for its fiscal year ending in early November 2026.
- AMD projects more than 60% annual data center segment growth over the next several years.
- The four biggest hyperscalers are collectively guiding to roughly $745 billion in combined capital expenditures for 2026.
- Goldman Sachs (GS -0.01%) estimated in a June 2026 note that 2027 hyperscaler capital expenditure alone could reach roughly $1.1 trillion in its base case, and as much as $1.4 trillion in a bullish scenario.
That said, there are threats to AI data center revenue. Models are becoming more capable per dollar of compute. If efficiency gains outpace demand growth, infrastructure spending could moderate. Historically, cheaper compute has expanded total usage rather than replacing it, but that is not guaranteed.
Hyperscalers are also spending at historically high levels relative to operating cash flows. If AI services revenue does not grow fast enough to justify the investment, capital expenditure plans could be revised downward, reducing demand for chip suppliers.
Companies could pull back on data center spending in the future, but at the moment, the data indicates that revenues will keep increasing.
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