What is next for data center revenue?
Forward guidance points to continued growth in data center revenue and infrastructure spending. For example:
- Nvidia guided for total revenue of $91 billion for Q2 FY2027. Vera Rubin platform production shipments begin in Q3 FY2027.
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company has visibility to $1 trillion in Blackwell and Vera Rubin sales from 2025 through calendar 2027.
- Broadcom expects AI chip sales to more than double year over year in Q3 FY2026, reaching $16.0 billion.
- AMD projects more than 60% annual data center segment growth over the next several years.
- The biggest hyperscalers are collectively planning capital expenditures of more than $700 billion in 2026.
- Goldman Sachs (GS -2.67%) projects that total hyperscaler capital expenditure from 2025 through 2027 will reach $1.4 trillion.
That said, there are threats to AI data center revenue. Models are becoming more capable per dollar of compute. If efficiency gains outpace demand growth, infrastructure spending could moderate. Historically, cheaper compute has expanded total usage rather than replacing it, but that is not guaranteed.
Hyperscalers are also spending at historically high levels relative to operating cash flows. If AI services revenue does not grow fast enough to justify the investment, capital expenditure plans could be revised downward, reducing demand for chip suppliers.
Companies could pull back on data center spending in the future, but at the moment, the data indicates that revenues will keep increasing.
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