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6 Big Markets Where Home Prices Might Still Be Rising, 6 Where Growth Stalled the Most

By Marc Rapport - Sep 21, 2022 at 3:41PM
Overhead shot of houses in Newark, New Jersey.

6 Big Markets Where Home Prices Might Still Be Rising, 6 Where Growth Stalled the Most

Home price growth has stalled in most places, but not all. Here's a look at the hottest and coolest markets at the moment

An acceleration in home prices across America has turned into a deceleration as interest rates, inflation, and affordability put the bite on buyers and sellers alike. Such movement is uneven, of course.

Black Knight (NYSE:BKI) has some of the latest data, and the big mortgage technology and data provider says national median home prices fell 0.77% from June to July, the first monthly decline in almost three years.

The Federal Reserve pegs the national median home sale price in July at $440,300. But all real estate is local, of course, and prices still ticked upward from June to July in six of our 50 largest metros. Following is a look at each, followed by the six where home price growth went furthest in reverse.

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A shot of the Miami skyline with the buildings throwing shadows on the water.

1. Miami

Black Knight says home prices in Miami rose 0.45% from June to July. Year over year (YOY), the city's home prices have appreciated by 27.9%, and the number cruncher's current home price index puts the typical price for a Miami home at $514,872.

ALSO READ: Is It Too Late to Start Investing in Real Estate?

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Snow-covered rooftops in downtown Buffalo, New York.

2. Buffalo, New York

Buffalo saw a month-over-month home price appreciation of 0.41% in July, putting its current home price index at $303,404, making this snowy lakefront city one of our more affordable major markets. Black Knight says Buffalo's prices are still up 14.5% for the year.

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New York City and Newark, New Jersey, on a map.

3. New York City-Newark, New Jersey

The massive New York-New Jersey metro saw a home price appreciation rate of 0.30% from June to July. Black Knight's current home price index of $668,277 also makes it one of the pricier overall. YOY, prices in the New York-Newark market rose 12.3%.

ALSO READ: Is the Great Housing Market Deceleration Finally Here?

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A waterfront night view of Providence, Rhode Island.

4. Providence, Rhode Island

Prices continued rising this summer in the biggest market in our smallest state. According to Black Knight, Rhode Island's capital city saw a 0.29% increase in home price appreciation rate in July. The current index price in Providence is $472,467, up 14.3% from last July.

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An aerial nighttime view of downtown Indianapolis.

5. Indianapolis

The only Midwest market on the list, Indianapolis, saw home prices rise 0.21% in July. That puts the current home price index at $314,720 -- 15.9% over the index price last July, says Black Knight.

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A shot of the fall-colored trees along the bank of the Connecticut River with downtown Hartford in the background.

6. Hartford, Connecticut

Hartford is another state capital that saw prices rise from June to July -- in this case, by a minuscule 0.01% -- to a current home price index of $331,415, according to Black Knight. That still contributed to an 11.6% increase from last July.

ALSO READ: How to Start Investing in Real Estate: The Basics

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San Jose, California, at night.

7. San Jose, California

Home prices can rise and fall quickly in Silicon Valley. San Jose saw a 3.99% decrease in July, according to Black Knight's home price appreciation data. They're now only up 5.2% YOY, too. But cheap digs are still not the norm here. San Jose's home price index value is still $1.4 million.

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Seattle city skyline with a ferry in the foreground.

8. Seattle

Black Knight says the Pacific Northwest's biggest market saw a large 3.46% drop in home price appreciation. The mortgage technology and data provider says its home price index is still up 9.4% YOY for Seattle, where the index price for a single home is $768,122.

ALSO READ: Should You Invest in Real Estate Now or Wait?

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A view of the Golden Gate Bridge from Marshall's Beach.

9. San Francisco

The home price index in San Francisco depreciated by 3.36% from June to July, pushing the typical price by that measure to $1,175,860. For those seeking to buy their home spot in this market by the bay, that's still 4% above last year at this time.

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Neighborhoods in San Diego with mountains in the background.

10. San Diego

We now move all the way down the California coast to the big, popular San Diego market, where the month-over-month price change for the average house fell 2.78% to $942,211. That's still 13.2% over San Diego's home price appreciation level last year at this time.

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A snow-covered statue in downtown Denver of someone riding a bucking bronco.

11. Denver

Colorado's Rocky Mountain high sales prices fell a bit in July, dipping 2.6% in a month and putting Black Knight's home price index value for this market at $622,468. That's also still an 11% gain over last year at this time.

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An aerial view of Griffith Observatory overlooking Los Angeles.

12. Los Angeles

America's second-largest city makes it four out of six for California on this list. According to Black Knight, the Los Angeles market saw a decline of 2.39% in prices from June to July. While the city's home price index has dipped below the million-dollar mark to $976,640, prices here have still appreciated 10% YOY.

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Person looking at a house listing on a tablet.

Home prices remain high, but the heat has definitely been turned down

Affordability has been a fast-growing issue as home prices have grown at a record pace over the past couple of years. With interest rates now approaching historical norms, buyers priced out of the market, including investors, may find more opportunities ahead.

Marc Rapport has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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