Could This Be Why Pacific Biosciences of California Stock Climbed Today?

Despite a lack of news, shares of the DNA sequencing champ are surging today. Could this be the reason?

Cory Renauer
Cory Renauer
Jan 3, 2017 at 5:15PM
Health Care

Image source: Getty Images.

What happened

Shares of Pacific Biosciences of California (NASDAQ:PACB), a DNA sequencing equipment specialist, gained about 14.5% in Tuesday's session. The reaction to the termination of a contract with Swiss pharma giant Roche last month was severe. It looks like value-minded investors are taking advantage of the stock's bargain bin price and perhaps salivating over the increased attractiveness of the company as an acquisition following the deal's termination.

PACB Chart

PACB data by YCharts.

So what 

Halfway through last month, Pacific Biosciences stock tanked 45% after the company disclosed the contract termination, reflecting a loss of around $260 million in market capitalization. Following a startling guidance revision by industry peer Illumina, it seems fear gripped the market, leading to an overreaction.

While it's true that many had hoped the partnership with Roche would become a major growth driver for Pac Bio, the company had already achieved all of the milestones available under the agreement. During the third quarter last year, product and service revenue grew a stunning 109% over the prior-year period to $21.5 million.

Now what

Revenue from Roche recognized during the third quarter was just $3.6 million. Although it was a high-profile partnership with a diagnostics leader, it hardly seems losing the contract was worth such a severe beating. 

Last year, the company recorded some impressive sales growth despite supply constraints in the first half of the year. Third-quarter figures suggest relief of the bottleneck is having the expected effect. Management recently stated it expects its top line to expand by another 40% to 60% this year, and it doesn't look like losing the Roche contract will make hitting those numbers difficult.

While investors should remain cautious until we can be certain Pacific Biosciences can meet its own lofty sales growth expectations, its enterprise value of just $277.6 million seems awfully cheap. Now that potential acquirers from its consolidating industry are no longer deterred by the Roche partnership, it's even more attractive.