Why The Buckle Inc. Stock Dropped 26.1% in 2016

The fashion retail chain dropped amid persistent same-store sales declines last year. Here's what investors need to know.

Steve Symington
Steve Symington
Jan 4, 2017 at 3:18PM
Consumer Goods

IMAGE SOURCE: The Buckle, Inc.

What happened

Shares of The Buckle Inc. (NYSE:BKE) declined 26.1% in 2016, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, as the fashion retailer posted consistently declining comparable-store sales amid a difficult retail environment.

So what

That's not to say the entire year was painful. In fact, the Buckle appeared to be on track to handily beat the market through the end of March, thanks largely to an upbeat report early that month covering the chain's 2015 holiday-quarter performance.

But shares took their first big tumble in early April, falling 12% in a single day after the company confirmed same-store sales for the five weeks ending April 2, 2016 had declined by a worse-than-expected 11.8%. That trends only persisted: Same-store sales fell 13.2% in April, dropped 11% in May, and slumped 10.6% in June. Fast-forward to equally underwhelming results in the ensuing months, and The Buckle's resulting share price declines were all but inevitable. 

BKE Chart

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Now what

The Buckle declined to offer a specific sales forecast for the 2016 holiday quarter. But it did confirm in early December that its November comparable-store net sales declined 16.2% year over year, indicating the retailer's struggle to keep cost-conscious consumers engaged given its higher prices relative to competitors is ongoing.

To be fair, The Buckle should offer more insight on its progress when it releases December comparable sales data in the coming days, as well as with its 2016 holiday-quarter results, which are expected early next month. But with comparable-store sales down 12.5% through the first three reported quarters of the year, along with a 3.7% decline in online sales over the same period, it's hardly surprising that The Buckle stock came unraveled in 2016.