Network security company Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:CHKP) recent first-quarter earnings report was slightly disappointing, but it's what management said about future execution challenges and opportunities that really counts. The company, and the IT security market in general, is going through a period of change. Here's the lowdown.

Check Point's first-quarter earnings: The raw numbers

Starting with the headline numbers from the quarter:

  • Revenue increased 4% to $452 million and came in slightly below the midpoint of guidance of $450 million to $460 million.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per share increased 9% to $1.30, a figure at the high-end of guidance of $1.25 to $1.30.
A graphic showing numerous fake clouds with silhouettes of locks in the middle of them.

Image source: Getty Images.

As you can see above, it was a satisfactory result for the quarter, but management was moved to cut its full-year 2018 guidance.

  • Full-year revenue is now expected to be in the range of $1.85 billion to $1.93 billion, compared to a previous range of $1.9 billion to $2 billion.
  • Full-year Non-GAAP EPS is now expected to be in the range of $5.45 to $5.75, compared to a previous range of $5.50 to $5.90.
  • Second-quarter revenue is forecast to be in the range of $445 million to $475 million, representing zero growth at the midpoint. Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be in the $1.25 to $1.35 range.

The reduction in full-year revenue and earnings guidance is due to the changes Check Point is making in its sales operation, according to comments from CEO Gil Shwed on the earnings call with analysts. Let's take a closer look at what he's talking about.

Check Point's sales execution

The issue of sales execution, notably in the U.S., first surfaced in the third quarter of 2017 with Shwed then outlining how restructuring the Americas region sales operation caused him to be cautious about near-term execution and give disappointing guidance.

Fast-forward to the fourth quarter (revenue only came in at the midpoint of guidance) and Check Point reported its second quarter in a row of declining sales in the Americas. It wasn't much better in the first quarter -- Americas region sales barely rose in the quarter, and Shwed outlined how changing the sales execution was taking longer than he'd hoped.

The impact on Check Point's sales growth in the last few quarters can be seen in the chart below.

A graph showing Check Point's sales growth from Q1 2014 to Q1 2018.

Data source: Check Point Software Technologies presentations. Chart by author.

Why it's changing

Shwed outlined that the increasing sophistication of cyberattacks means many potential customers aren't ready to implement what Shwed calls fifth-generation security solutions.

On the earnings call, he suggested that most IT middle managers are focused on second-generation threats (which try to penetrate the network) and third-generation threats (which try to exploiting application vulnerabilities in the network). However, there are fourth-generation and fifth-generation threats that are hidden in network traffic and often disguised as content files -- delivery often uses the cloud or mobile.

Fifth-generation threats require a holistic approach to security architecture, and the kind of unified security platform that usually requires higher level executives to purchase. According to Shwed on the earnings call, "CISOs [chief information security officers], CIOs [chief information officers], and others have the ability to see the bigger picture and update their overall security architecture to fifth-generation protection."

As anyone who's ever worked in sales will tell you, it's a lot harder and more time-consuming to get hold of a higher-level executive and convince them of the merits of a significant strategic investment than it is to sell a simple solution to a middle manager. "We're asking them to learn new sales techniques, reach much higher in the organization and learn new tactics in approaching new customers and opportunities," Shwed said.

What to watch

The company needs to transition its U.S. sales force toward selling its new generation of security products. Shwed argues that it's mainly an issue of its sales people starting to approach people "higher in the organization." Investors will be looking to monitor progress on this front in the coming quarters.

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