Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Here's Why Shares of Andeavor Logistics Dropped 13% in December

By Tyler Crowe - Updated Apr 15, 2019 at 12:43PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's not oil prices that impacted the company, it's the uncertainty about what Andeavor's parent company will do with it.

What happened

Shares of pipeline and storage specialist Andeavor Logistics Partners (ANDX) declined 12.9% in December, According to S&P Global Market Intelligence. The largest culprit for the move was the decline in oil prices and the market in general. Longer term, though, there is a lot of uncertainty regarding what its parent company will do with the business. 

So what

Aside from Wall Street thinking that Andeavor Logistics' stock is less valuable, the recent sell-off and oil price decline isn't going to have much of an effect on the business. Ninety-five percent of the company's revenue comes from fee-based contracts with little to no exposure to commodity prices. So any change in prices has little to no effect on the company's earnings reports.

Pipelines headed toward a refinery.

Image source: Getty Images.

The thing that should have investors concerned is that Andeavor's future looks incredibly uncertain right now. Marathon Petroleum (MPC 2.76%) purchased Andeavor Logistics' former parent, Andeavor, last year. Like Andeavor, Marathon has its own subsidiary partnership in MPLX (MPLX 1.75%). Both of these subsidiaries serve the same function of supporting Marathon's refining and marketing businesses with oil and refined-product logistics. 

When Marathon took control of Andeavor, it immediately started making significant changes. One was to stop growing the partnership's payout. Marathon would like to run Andeavor Logistics much more like MPLX, which means lower debt levels and higher amounts of retained cash flow. While I'm speculating here, the long-term solution will likely be for MPLX to acquire Andeavor Logistics.

Now what

Andeavor Logistics is slated for several changes now that it is under new management, regardless of where oil prices go from here. Those changes are probably better for the long-term health of the business, but investors who have become accustomed to its extremely high yield will likely be disappointed.

 ANDX Chart

ANDX data by YCharts.

Personally, I think the company will look to merge the two businesses. That merger will likely be more favorable to MPLX because it is the stronger of the two. For anyone tempted to buy Andeavor Logistics with its 12.5% distribution yield, it's probably best to wait and see how this situation with the parent company shakes out.

Check out all our earnings call transcripts.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Andeavor Logistics LP Stock Quote
Andeavor Logistics LP
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Stock Quote
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
$84.48 (2.76%) $2.27
MPLX LP Stock Quote
$29.66 (1.75%) $0.51

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
S&P 500 Returns

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 07/03/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.