Ford Motor Company (F +0.09%) reported third-quarter net income of $425 million, down from $991 million in the third quarter of 2018, as one-time charges related to restructuring actions in Europe and India weighed.
Excluding those one-time charges, Ford earned $0.34 per share, up from $0.29 per share a year ago and above Wall Street's consensus estimate. Wall Street analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected Ford to report adjusted earnings of $0.26 per share. Ford's automotive-segment revenue was $33.93 billion, down from $34.66 billion a year ago and slightly short of Wall Street's estimate of $34.09 billion.
Ford also cut its full-year earnings guidance on growing concerns about weakness in the North American and Chinese markets. Shares fell in after-hours trading after the news was released.
The production ramp-up of Ford's all-new 2020 Explorer was slowed by early quality issues; tight supplies hurt third-quarter results. Image source: Ford Motor Company.
The raw numbers
Here are the key numbers from Ford's third-quarter 2019 results.
| Metric | Q3 2019 | Change vs. Q3 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $37.0 billion | (2%) |
| Wholesale shipments (rounded to the nearest thousand) | 1,244,000 | (8%) |
| Adjusted EBIT | $1.79 billion | 7.5% |
| Adjusted EBIT margin | 4.8% | 0.4 ppts higher |
| Net income | $425 million | (57%) |
| Adjusted earnings per share | $0.34 | 17.2% |
| Adjusted free cash flow | $207 million | 80% |
Data source: Ford Motor Company. "EBIT" is earnings before interest and tax. "Adjusted" figures exclude the effects of one-time items. Ford took $1.536 billion in one-time charges in the third quarter of 2019 and $231 million in one-time charges in the third quarter of 2018. "Ppts" = percentage points.
How Ford's business units performed
All financial results in this section are reported on an EBIT basis, except as noted.
North America: Ford earned $2.01 billion in North America, up $52 million from the third quarter of 2018. Revenue rose 5% to $23.4 billion, but wholesale shipments fell slightly from a year ago, to about 639,000. U.S. sales fell 4.9% in the quarter on tight supplies of the all-new 2020 Explorer amid early production snags; in an interview, CFO Tim Stone said that Explorer is now "nearly" at full production.
Ford North America's EBIT margin, a number widely watched by Ford investors, was 8.6% in the third quarter. That's a decline of 0.2 percentage points from a year ago, but still a solid result.
Europe: Ford Europe lost $179 million in the third quarter, versus a loss of $245 million in the third quarter of last year. Sales in key European markets rose 3.1% in the quarter, but revenue fell 14% to $6.4 billion. The reason: Ford's wholesale shipments declined 15% to about 303,000 as it continued to revamp its Europe product portfolio.
South America: Ford lost $165 million in South America, versus $152 million a year ago. Revenue fell 19% to $1.0 billion on a 16% decline in wholesale shipments after Ford shut down its heavy-truck business in the region.
China: Ford lost $281 million in China in the third quarter, an improvement of $97 million from a year ago, as pricing and cost improvements more than offset a 30% year-over-year decline in sales.
Middle East and Africa: Ford lost $27 million here, versus a profit of $47 million a year ago. Revenue fell 2% on a 4% drop in wholesale shipments.
Asia Pacific: Ford's "rest of the world" unit lost $31 million in the third quarter, versus a profit of $170 million in the third quarter of 2018. Revenue fell 12% to $1.7 billion on a 19% drop in wholesale shipments.
Ford Credit: Ford's captive-finance subsidiary earned $736 million in pre-tax profit, up 9% from $678 million in the third quarter of last year. Credit and loss metrics remain strong, roughly unchanged from last year; auction values are down slightly from a year ago, but trending a bit above Ford's expectations.
Debt and liquidity
Ford ended the third quarter with $22.3 billion in cash available to its automotive business, down slightly from $23.1 billion at the end of 2018. It had an additional $13.1 billion in available credit lines, for total automotive liquidity of $35.4 billion, up from $34.2 billion at the end of 2018.
On the other side of the ledger, Ford had $14.8 billion in well-structured long-term debt as of the end of the quarter, up from $14.1 billion at the end of 2018.
Looking ahead: Ford's guidance
Stone said that Ford now expects "headwinds" -- including recall costs, higher incentives in the U.S., and lower sales in China -- to have a greater effect in the fourth quarter than it had anticipated when it last updated its full-year guidance in July.
As a result, Ford cut its earnings guidance once again. It now expects:
- Adjusted earnings per share between $1.20 and $1.32. (Prior guidance: Between $1.20 and $1.35.) (2018 result: $1.30).
- Adjusted EBIT between $6.5 billion and $7.0 billion. (Prior guidance: Between $7.0 billion and $7.5 billion.) (2018: $7.0 billion).
But despite the headwinds, Stone said that Ford still expects its full-year adjusted free cash flow to exceed its 2018 result ($2.8 billion), unchanged from earlier guidance.
