Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Does Cassava Sciences Have the Alzheimer's Disease Drug We've Been Waiting For?

By Cory Renauer – Sep 20, 2020 at 6:53AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Here's what you should know about the experimental treatment that sent this biotech stock rocketing higher.

Shares of Cassava Sciences (SAVA 3.81%) rocketed higher last week in response to compelling results from a clinical trial with sumifilam, an experimental treatment for Alzheimer's patients. This disease affects roughly one in 10 adults over 65, and there still aren't any effective treatment options that curtail its progression.

Recently released results from a midstage clinical trial with mild to moderate stage Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients are compelling, but we've been here before. Here's what investors should know about sumifilam, the potential new AD drug from Cassava Sciences, and potential pitfalls the company's peers have stumbled into before.

Caregiver and elderly patient.

Image source: Getty Images.

A big opportunity

There still aren't any available treatments that curtail progressive mental deterioration brought on by the disease. In the past decade, we've seen AD candidates from PfizerRoche, Eli Lilly, and Biogen (BIIB 0.56%) exhibit signs of efficacy in early stage clinical trials only to disappoint in larger and exponentially more expensive phase 3 trials.

While there aren't available AD treatments at the moment, there could be one before the end of the year. The FDA is currently reviewing a controversial application from Biogen for its AD candidate, aducanumab.

There's a chance the FDA will decide that the hazy benefit Biogen reported outweighs clear health risks seen among patients who received regular infusions of aducanumab. In a far more likely scenario, there will still be an enormous unmet need for effective AD drugs years from now when Cassava's ready to present phase 3 results for its AD candidate.

Ready for the next phase

Sumiflam's a first-in-class small-molecule drug that's designed to fix misfunctioning filamin A, a scaffolding protein associated with higher concentrations of protein fragments that form plaques in the brains of AD patients. Successful results from phase 2 suggest it works as expected. 

In a randomized controlled phase 2 trial, investigators split 64 patients with mild-to-moderate AD into three groups, two that received pills containing 50 milligrams or 100 milligrams of sumifilam twice daily and a third that received a placebo.

After 28 days of treatment, researchers examined samples of the fluid that was bathing their brains and spinal cords for signs of tau, amyloid-beta, and several other biomarkers associated with AD and other forms of dementia. Across all biomarkers measured, patients in the sumifilam groups showed reductions that were significantly lower than the placebo group.

Two scientists, one holding a test tube and the other a clipboard, conduct research in a lab.

Image source: Getty Images.

What really matters

Biomarker reductions are all fine and good, but the FDA wants to see proof that a drug can improve outcomes before approving it to treat millions of relatively healthy people. Patients treated with sumifilam tested higher when asked to remember new information, but the difference wasn't strong enough to be considered statistically significant. Remember, this was a small study, funded by the National Institutes of Health, that enrolled just 64 patients and observed them after only four weeks of treatment. 

The cognitive symptoms associated with Alzheimer's disease progress so slowly that we can't realistically expect measurable cognitive benefits after just 28 days. The results Cassava reported in this NIH sponsored phase 2 trial, though, suggest sumifilam's doing something right.

What's next for sumifilam

If a sumifilam can repeat it's recent success in a larger study designed to measure long term cognitive benefits, it could eventually become the top-selling drug of its time. Anyone considering an investment in Cassava, though, needs to understand there's still a long road ahead.

In a nutshell, Cassava Sciences isn't equipped to run a pivotal AD trial with thousands of patients and dozens of study locations. At the end of June, the company had just $25 million in cash, no reliable sources of revenue, and hardly enough employees to fill a small conference room. 

One way or another, Cassava's going to need capital to run a phase 3 study with sumifilam. This could come in the form of a collaboration agreement with a larger pharmaceutical company or a complete buyout offer. At the moment, the company sports an extremely modest $251 million market cap that puts the company well within reach of dozens of potential suitors. 

Tread lightly

Investors should know that sumifilam was Cassava's last hope just a couple of years ago, when the company was still called Pain Therapeutics. You may remember, Pain Therapeutics shifted gears in 2018 after receiving multiple rejections from the FDA for Remoxy ER, an abuse-deterrent opioid.

The data we've seen so far from sumifilam clearly warrants further study, but Cassava's still run by Remi Barber, the same CEO who spent years convincing shareholders Remoxy ER was a good bet. If you're going to take a chance on Cassava Sciences stock, don't risk anything you can't afford to lose.

Cory Renauer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Biogen. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Cassava Sciences, Inc. Stock Quote
Cassava Sciences, Inc.
$34.92 (3.81%) $1.28
Biogen Stock Quote
$305.15 (0.56%) $1.70

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
S&P 500 Returns

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 11/28/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.