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Why Navistar Stock Just Dropped 18.5%

By Rich Smith – Oct 14, 2020 at 1:10PM

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The merger is at risk.

What happened

All year long, Germany's Volkswagen (VWAGY -1.29%) has been trying to buy America's Navistar International (NAV) truck company in an international merger. In January, Volkswagen offered to pay $35 for each outstanding share, sending Navistar stock soaring. Then last month, Volkswagen hiked its bid to $43 a share, sending Navistar stock up another 20%.

Today though, Navistar is in full-speed reverse, rolling downhill 18.5% as of 12:20 p.m. EDT. Why?

A model of a blue car sits on top of a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images.

So what

Basically, the story goes like this: Volkswagen has offered $43 a share, but according to sources interviewed by The New York Post, Navistar activist shareholder Carl Icahn wants Volkswagen to up its bid to $50, while other shareholders are apparently asking for as much as $70 a share.

Volkswagen, however, isn't budging. In a press release published by its Traton subsidiary (the vehicle that will actually make the acquisition if it proceeds) today, Volkswagen warns that unless Navistar shareholders agree to its $43 offer by close of business on Oct. 16, Traton will withdraw its offer and not buy Navistar at all.  

Now what

Oct. 16 is just two days away. That doesn't leave Navistar's shareholders a lot of time to make up their minds, but unless they do -- and unless they agree to Volkswagen's price -- Navistar stock risks giving up all of the gains it got from Volkswagen's original January offer, and its raised offer in September, too.

Volkswagen's playing hardball here, and Navistar shareholders are at real risk of striking out.

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Stocks Mentioned

Navistar International Stock Quote
Navistar International
Volkswagen AG (ADR) Stock Quote
Volkswagen AG (ADR)
$19.12 (-1.29%) $0.25

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