Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Free Article Join Over 1 Million Premium Members And Get More In-Depth Stock Guidance and Research

3 Embarrassingly Cheap Dividend Stocks

By Travis Hoium - Dec 8, 2020 at 7:25AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Sometimes the market overlooks the long-term potential of dividend payers.

Sometimes, stocks become so undervalued or overlooked that investors can find embarrassingly good deals by simply taking a long-term view. Those are the dividend stocks I'll highlight today, and they come from a wide range of places in the market. 

Simon Property Group ( SPG -2.08% ) is cheap because investors think malls are risky right now, Las Vegas Sands ( LVS -1.87% ) is undervalued because we don't know when entertainment will come roaring back, and wireless giant AT&T ( T 1.45% ) is unloved because it's in a stagnant business. 

Sack with a dollar sign and coins on a table.

Image source: Getty Images.

Malls aren't as bad as they seem

As one of the biggest mall owners in the world, Simon Property Group was likely to be one of the hardest hit by shutdowns and a reduction in economic activity due to the COVID-19 pandemic. There's no doubt that malls have suffered, but they haven't been as hard hit as you might think, and their recovery could be relatively quick

In the third quarter of 2020, management said that mall and premium-outlet occupancy was at 91.4%, only slightly below the 95.1% rate at the end of 2019, and the company collected 85% of net billed rent, up from 72% in the second quarter. Business isn't back to normal, but people are going to malls and shopping at a regular clip this holiday season, and that's even before any sort of recovery from the pandemic.

On the dividend side, Simon Property Group paid $1.30 per share in the third quarter of 2020, down from $2.10 quarterly earlier this year. If we assume that by 2022, the company will return to a quarterly dividend of about $2.10 per share, it would yield a whopping 9.4% at today's stock price. I think that's plausible if there's an economic recovery in 2021 given evidence we've already seen of a rapid recovery in net bill payments and a relatively high occupancy rate in Simon Property's malls. The stock looks like it's very cheap if you're bullish on malls roaring back, and that's exactly what I see happening over the next two years. 

Gambling on a recovery

Few industries have been hit as hard as gambling in 2020, especially in Asia, where COVID-19 restrictions have been stricter than in the U.S. That's hurt a company like Las Vegas Sands (with operations in Macao and Singapore) more than most. But it's still one of the best gambling companies in the world given those highly sought-after licenses. 

Below, you can see the impact of the pandemic on Las Vegas Sands' operations. Revenue has fallen more than 80%, and in Macao and Singapore, the business has been devastated.

LVS Revenue (TTM) Chart

LVS revenue (TTM) data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12  months.

The upside for investors is when a recovery comes in the gambling industry. I think there's going to be a huge surge in demand around the world, and Las Vegas Sands should be one of the beneficiaries. In the U.S., we've seen a rapid recovery when casinos reopen and that's even before the threat of COVID-19 is gone. In October, Las Vegas Strip gambling revenue was down just 30.2% versus a year ago, and UNLV's Center for Gaming Research reports U.S. gambling revenue was down just 13.7% in September versus a year ago. Macau and Singapore's restrictions are stronger today, but when travel reopens there's no reason to think gambling revenue won't recover in late 2021 and into 2022, returning cash flow to normal.

The dividend is currently suspended but was being paid at an annualized rate of $3.16 earlier this year. If that comes back -- as I think it will given Las Vegas Sands' excess cash flow and history of growing its dividend -- it would equate to a 5.5% dividend yield at today's stock price, a steal for a company operating in highly profitable, highly regulated gambling markets in the U.S. and Asia. 

No love for wireless

The market hasn't loved the wireless telecommunications business for a while now, and AT&T has fallen out of favor like others in the industry. It hasn't helped that huge acquisitions like DirecTV and Time Warner haven't performed particularly well. But despite those problems, AT&T continues to churn out cash and pay a lofty 7.2% dividend yield. 

T Revenue (TTM) Chart
Data source: YCharts.

What AT&T has going for it right now is the consistent cash flow of its standard wireless business and potential upside from the rollout of 5G technology across the country. 5G should enable new technologies like autonomous vehicles, mobile VR, more connected devices, and other innovations. If those take hold, they could help the company grow revenue and profitability, making the high dividend yield today a steal for long-term investors. 

High dividend yields to buy today

Each of these stocks is cheap for a reason. But if we look out a year or two, they should all be fully recovered from the pandemic and producing cash in big numbers once again. That's why these stocks are cheap -- embarrassingly cheap -- today. 

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis – even one of our own – helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Simon Property Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Simon Property Group, Inc.
$148.70 (-2.08%) $-3.16
AT&T Inc. Stock Quote
AT&T Inc.
$23.38 (1.45%) $0.33
Las Vegas Sands Stock Quote
Las Vegas Sands
$34.93 (-1.87%) $0.66

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning service.

Stock Advisor Returns
S&P 500 Returns

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 12/03/2021.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Our Most Popular Articles

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with the Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from the Motley Fool's premium services.