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Why Hyliion Stock Is Sinking Today

By John Rosevear - Updated Feb 3, 2021 at 2:24PM

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A key analyst has a bearish view. Is he right?

What happened

Shares of electric-truck drivetrain start-up Hyliion (HYLN 1.93%) were trading lower on Wednesday, after a Goldman Sachs analyst released a bearish note and downgraded the stock. 

As of 1:45 p.m. EST today, Hyliion's shares were down about 7.3% from Tuesday's closing price.

So what

In a note released late on Tuesday, Goldman analyst Mark Delaney cut the bank's rating on Hyliion's stock to sell, from hold, with a price target of $12, down from $19. His concern is that the heavy-trucking industry is moving more quickly than expected to zero-emission technologies, meaning that Hyliion's hybrid solutions (which are considerably greener than regular diesel engines, but aren't zero emission) might be overlooked by the market.

Texas-based Hyliion has two products. One, which is already shipping, is a kit to convert diesel-powered semi trucks to hybrid-electric operation. The second, due in 2022, is a complete battery-electric heavy-truck powertrain with a natural gas "range extender," essentially an onboard generator in lieu of a large, heavy battery pack. That second product, called Hypertruck ERX, can be installed in any semi made by the six largest makers of heavy trucks. 

A green and white Freightliner semi truck with Hyliion's hybrid drivetrain installed.

Hyliion's hybrid powertrains can be installed in semi trucks from any of the six major manufacturers. Image source: Hyliion.

Delaney has a point, and it's not just about Tesla's (TSLA 2.55%) upcoming Semi. A growing list of truck makers are planning and testing zero-emission heavy trucks, including industry heavyweights Daimler (DMLR.Y 2.56%) and Navistar (NAV), as well as new entrants like Nikola (NKLA 1.99%). 

Last week, Navistar announced that it will begin a large-scale pilot test of fuel-cell electric heavy trucks late next year, with trucks powered by fuel cells from General Motors (GM 2.17%) and supported by a new hydrogen refueling network. Those trucks could be shipping to customers sometime in 2023.

Take all that together, and that's why Hyliion's stock is sinking today.

Now what

Does this mean that auto investors should give up on Hyliion? Not necessarily. This is a smart company with a nimble business model. I won't be surprised if it adapts its upcoming Hypertruck ERX to work with third-party fuel cells instead of a natural-gas generator, giving it a true zero-emissions option with minimal additional investment. 

Given that the company already has manufacturing and installation partners in place, it could conceivably move quickly to overcome the concerns raised by Delaney. But until it does, trade carefully. 

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Stocks Mentioned

Hyliion Holdings Corp. Stock Quote
Hyliion Holdings Corp.
HYLN
$3.11 (1.93%) $0.06
General Motors Company Stock Quote
General Motors Company
GM
$37.91 (2.17%) $0.81
Tesla, Inc. Stock Quote
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA
$742.87 (2.55%) $18.50
Navistar International Corporation Stock Quote
Navistar International Corporation
NAV
Daimler AG Stock Quote
Daimler AG
DMLR.Y
$17.01 (2.56%) $0.42
Nikola Corporation Stock Quote
Nikola Corporation
NKLA
$5.88 (1.99%) $0.12

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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