You wouldn't necessarily know it from oil service stocks' day-to-day behavior, but the market for oil and gas drilling is still very tight. With little excess capacity in storage and long lead times on new builds, dayrates -- the industry term for prices -- keep climbing, and energy producers are increasingly willing to lock in long-term rates that are very profitable for the drilling companies.
As the world's largest contract drilling operator, Transocean
Looking at some other bits and pieces, it seems that Transocean's market opportunity over the next few years is considerable. One-fourth of the company's high-spec floaters are under contract through 2010, and another 14 rigs will come off contract before 2007, giving the company the opportunity to reprice them at higher rates. In addition, while the company is getting some interest from customers on new builds, and there are some Norweigan outfits reportedly building new rigs on spec (meaning they're not under contract), new supply doesn't seem to be a major worry just yet.
You can find another expression of confidence in Transocean's board's recent authorization of a $2 billion share buyback. Although these announcements are always open-ended (meaning there's no obligation to complete them), that amount still represents more than 10% of the current market cap, and it's a powerful testament to what cash flows could look like over the next couple of years.
Whether it's BP
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Fool contributor Stephen Simpson has no financial interest in any stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares).