Most loyal Fool readers know how we feel about selling. If you've found a great company with top-notch management and a strong competitive advantage, the best time to sell is almost never.
But that doesn't mean we hold on blindly. Things change, even with the greatest of companies. That's why we're constantly evaluating our stocks and watching for the danger signs that can torpedo our portfolios.
Today, I'd like to share three rules for selling, as set forth by Fool co-founder Tom Gardner for his Motley Fool Stock Advisor members.
1. Selfish management.
Tom calls this the "worst possible development" for any of his companies. If the executive team starts worrying more about lining its own pockets than creating value with the business, it's time to let go. For clues, keep an eye on excessive compensation, active insider selling, declining market share, and aggressive accounting. A classic example of the latter occurred at Cendant a number of years ago under a previous management team -- which, at the time, was one of the largest cases of accounting fraud ever.
2. Competitive disadvantages.
Competitive advantages lead businesses to high returns on capital and equity. They could result from many things -- for instance, UPS's
3. An unstable financial model.
First, let's think of strong companies with stable models, such as McDonald's
What about valuation?
Obviously, a stock carrying a sky-high valuation is a candidate for selling. But this is the toughest call of all. If properly valuing a company is so easy, after all, everyone would be rich ... happily buying low and selling high. So tread carefully here; it takes many accurate valuation-based sell calls to make up for just one missed multibagger.
The three sell signs I've outlined above aren't too hard to spot. Tom and his brother David have employed accurate selling and buying guidelines on their way to outstanding performance in Stock Advisor -- since inception, their recommendations have averaged a gain of 7% versus a 22% loss for equal amounts invested in the S&P 500. You can get a look at their top five stocks for new money now, plus all their past recommendations, free of charge with a 30-day trial. There's no obligation to subscribe.
This article was originally published April 12, 2006. It has been updated.
Stock Advisor analyst Rex Moore is brought to you by the letter "R." He owns shares of Procter & Gamble. United Parcel Service is a Motley Fool Income Investor pick. Priceline.com, FedEx, and Amazon.com are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. The Fool has a disclosure policy.