Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Checking In on Deepwater Demand

By Toby Shute – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 12:51AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Drillers' dayrates are the key metric in this high-stakes game.

The last time we took a look at the level of rates charged by deepwater contract drillers, Transocean (NYSE:RIG) showed that near-term availability continues to command a premium in this market. The company pulled down a handsome $530,000 dayrate from Noble Energy (NYSE:NBL) for work in the Mediterranean Sea, beginning in September 2010. That followed on the heels of a $510,000-per-day contract award by Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) for a multiyear spin on the Cajun Express.

These rates are well off Transocean's (NYSE:RIG) record rate awarded by Eni (NYSE:E) last year, but they're still princely sums.

This week, Transocean landed a contract for the last of its ultra-deepwater (i.e., 7,500 feet or more of water depth) rigs with availability in 2010. The Deepwater Horizon has made waves lately, drilling a well to record depth in the discovery of BP's giant gusher in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico. Clearly satisfied with the rig's performance, BP has signed a three-year contract extension at $544 million, or around $497,000 a day.

That's about a 6% slip from the rate Transocean got with Noble, but it's important to note that that award only covered 15 months of activity. BP got a slightly lower rate by offering some significant terms on this deal. Transocean shareholders should be quite pleased with this arrangement.

For anyone long the drillers, be it Noble (NYSE:NE), Atwood Oceanics (NYSE:ATW), or Pride International (NYSE:PDE), the key at this point is to watch contract awards for the "out" years, meaning 2011 and beyond. That's the true test of ongoing deepwater demand. I have a hunch about where rates are headed, but I'm interested to hear what you think.

Atwood Oceanics is a Stock Advisor selection, and Petrobras is an Income Investor recommendation. Try any of our newsletters free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Toby Shute doesn't have a position in any company mentioned. Check out his Motley Fool CAPS profile or follow his articles using Twitter or RSS. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Transocean Ltd. Stock Quote
Transocean Ltd.
RIG
$2.39 (1.27%) $0.03
Noble Corporation plc Stock Quote
Noble Corporation plc
NEBLQ
Eni S.p.A. Stock Quote
Eni S.p.A.
E
$20.44 (-1.97%) $0.41
Noble Energy, Inc. Stock Quote
Noble Energy, Inc.
NBL
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Stock Quote
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
PBR
$12.16 (-3.11%) $0.39
Atwood Oceanics, Inc. Stock Quote
Atwood Oceanics, Inc.
ATW

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.