Sometimes the runner that sprints to win the day is the very one that lagged the pack through the early going.
Although shares of Yamana Gold
In fact, over the past two years of this multiyear marathon, Yamana has been bringing up the rear. Even titans like Barrick Gold
Like a well-conditioned athlete that's picking its moment to surge, however, Yamana still appears poised to reward patient shareholders with relative outperformance over many of its gold mining peers as this bull market matures. Despite the palpable frustration on Wall Street with Yamana's less-than-stellar earnings result for the fourth quarter of 2009, I maintain that this low-cost leader is one high-grade producer that yawanna keep around.
A sequential production decline -- associated with operational hiccups at El Penon that will persist through the first quarter of 2010 -- brought Yamana's yearly total to 1.02 million gold equivalent ounces (GEOs). Even adding production from discontinued operations to tally 1.2 million ounces, Yamana's production remains well shy of its previously targeted pace of achieving 2 million ounces by 2012. The revised plan sees just 1.5 million ounces by 2013, highlighting the more justifiable portion of the market's frustration.
Also dampening investor enthusiasm is Yamana's persistent exposure to derivative and currency-related losses that mercilessly chip away at the bottom line. In the fourth quarter, those hits included some $45.2 million from future income tax adjustments, derivative losses, and foreign exchange losses. Derivative losses from miners like Yamana and Kinross Gold
As a longtime Yamana shareholder, I share in the multiple disappointments of these reduced production targets, operational snags, and annoying kinks in the bottom line. However, I believe that the market has gone entirely too far in discounting the shares for these well-documented ills. Beyond a hopeful development pipeline that includes four new mines approved for construction, Yamana is eyeing substantial reserve growth in 2010 and investing some $80 million in exploration. I stand by my recent selection of Yamana Gold as the best bargain among gold miners ... a designation with which 73% of 1,100 readers responding to our Motley Poll agreed. In case some Fools are having second thoughts, I truly believe that yawanna keep Yamana.
Fool contributor Christopher Barker's selection of Yamana Gold for his silverminer CAPS portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 by roughly 131 percentage points since November 2008. The stock has earned three stars out of five, with more than 3,500 investors expecting further outperformance. Join the free Motley Fool CAPS community today, and share your own outlook for Yamana Gold.
Christopher Barker can be found blogging actively and acting Foolishly in the CAPS community under the user name TMFSinchiruna. He tweets. He owns shares of Eldorado Gold, IAMGOLD, Kinross Gold, and Yamana Gold. The Motley Fool has a gilded disclosure policy.