September Swoon Sends LINN Energy LLC Down 21.6% and LinnCo LLC Down 7.5%

Despite the correlation between LINN Energy LLC and LinnCo LLC, the companies traded much differently in September.

Matthew DiLallo
Matthew DiLallo
Oct 10, 2015 at 2:03PM
Energy, Materials, and Utilities

What: September was another month to forget for investors in LINN Energy LLC (NASDAQOTH:LINEQ) and LinnCo LLC (UNKNOWN:LNCO.DL), as their values dropped again. Driving the sell-off was oil's drop of more than 8% for the month, as well as LINN Energy's getting kicked out of a well-known MLP index. Yet the companies didn't equally feel the impacts of those catalysts, despite their rather direct relationship. 

So what: As has been the case since oil prices turned lower last year, LINN Energy's unit price seems to be pummeled any time oil prices fall, since its cash flow rises and falls, to some extent, with oil prices. That certainly was the case in September. 

The other big catalyst fueling LINN's selloff was news that it was jettisoned from the Alerian MLP index. That index, which tracks the 50 largest MLPs, is one that a number of funds try to match. So when companies are dropped from the index, these funds drop the companies as well, leading to additional selling pressure.

Those catalysts aside, it was interesting to see how they had a much more direct impact on LINN Energy's units than LinnCo's stock.

LINE Chart

LINE data by YCharts

That wide deviation came even though LinnCo's only assets are the units it owns in LINN. What happened here is that the premium LINN Energy used to trade at relative to LinnCo has evaporated, largely because both have suspended investor distributions, before which investors were willing to pay a premium to own LINN over LinnCo. However, with distributions suspended, the premium has evaporated so that now LINN units and LinnCo shares are trading for virtually the same price.

Now what: September was another wild month for LINN Energy and LinnCo, as both fell again because of oil prices and index changes. While the impact wasn't felt equally last month, it should going forward, as both companies are expected to remain volatile until there's more clarity on the future of the oil market as well as LINN's ability to maintain its large debt load.