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Chances Are You're Outperforming These 3 Well-Known Money Managers

By Sean Williams - Updated Aug 24, 2017 at 9:49AM

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Famous investors are expected to earn better returns than the average Joe, but that's not always the case.

This article was updated on August 24, 2017, and originally published on April 22, 2016. 

When it comes to investing in the stock market, there are the professionals and then there's everyone else -- at least the way Wall Street views it.

According to sortable data from GuruFocus, there are just over 100 investment moguls currently in control of portfolios with $1 billion or more in assets under management. Investors freely give their money to these money managers with the expectation that their investing and trading expertise, as well as their perceived ability to find hidden values that us average Joe's don't see, should result in superior results that make high management expense fees worthwhile.

A money manager grasping his head in frustration in front of his computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

Three money managers failing to get the job done

Unfortunately, there are no givens in the stock market, and some investors have learned the hard way that placing their trust in a well-known money manager doesn't guarantee market outperformance. Below are three celebrity investors whose shareholders are getting walloped by the S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.99%) over the long run.

Ken Fisher

Ken Fisher is the CEO and CIO of Fisher Investments, which oversees more than $60 billion in assets. He's a renowned author and a noted contrarian who has called numerous market reversals, and he firmly believes in his "Fisher strategy" of identifying information that isn't widely known or understood and using that to his firms' advantage.

How has that worked out for investors? Judging by the performance of Fisher Investments' Purisima Total Return Fund through April 2016, not so good: The mutual fund wound up losing to the S&P 500 by 21% over a three-year period, 52% over a five-year period, 54% over a 10-year period, and 17% over a cumulative 15-year period. Granted, the Purisima fund only represented a small fraction of Fisher Investments' assets under management in April 2016, but it seems that Fisher's contrarian style appears to be hurting, rather than helping, his mutual fund investors over the long run. At the end of June 2016, Fisher wound up pulling the plug on on the Purisima family of funds.  

A worried investor looking at a falling stock chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

David Einhorn

Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn is a name many investors are familiar with, as he's a noted activist investor and a die-hard value investor who's perhaps best known for calling Herbalife a pyramid scheme. As of May 2017, Einhorn oversaw $7.2 billion in assets under management.

Investors, however, have seen little to cheer about despite Einhorn's value-oriented and activist investment strategy. Compared to the S&P 500 through early May 2017, Einhorn's Greenlight Capital has underperformed by 36% over the past three years, 79% over the past five-year period, and 40% over a 10-year period. Controversial short sales of Keurig Green Mountain and Herbalife, as well as a long position in solar sob story SunEdison, are largely to blame for Greenlight's recent underperformance.

Daniel Loeb

Finally, Dan Loeb, founder of Third Point, which has around $10 billion in assets under management, has made a name for himself by being an activist investor and seeking out catalysts that he and his team believe could unlock shareholder value. It's not uncommon for Loeb to send letters to company boards of directors to let them know how they've underperformed and how things can be corrected. Unfortunately for Third Point investors, it's Loeb who could use a letter these days.

According to performance statistics on GuruFocus, Loeb's fund has underperformed the S&P 500 by 18% over the trailing three-year period through early June 2017, and 30% over a five-year period. Stakeholders would need to have been invested in Third Point back in 2009 to claim any outperformance today.

A young woman reading a financial newspaper and pondering her financial future.

Image source: Getty Images.

Three important lessons for investors

The underperformance of these three smart money-managers over extended timeframes can actually serve to teach investors a few important life lessons.

First, as investors, we're going to be wrong from time to time. Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner has often said that some of the best stock-pickers in the world will only be right about six out of 10 times. The key to running a successful investment portfolio is allowing your winners to keep running while identifying business models that no longer fit with your investment thesis and removing them from your portfolio. If you pick out even a handful of multibaggers over your lifetime, you could actually be wrong way more than you're right overall and still end up a wildly successful investor in terms of total wealth creation.

Secondly, as we've seen from Ken Fisher's and David Einhorn's struggles, being a contrarian investor isn't always the best move over the long term. In fact, over time, stock market indexes have a tendency to increase in value. Since 1950, all 35 stock market corrections have been completely erased within weeks, months, or years by a bear market rally or bull market reversal. Again, there are no guarantees when it comes to investing, but 35-for-35 is about as close to a guarantee as you're going to get. Long story short, betting on businesses increasing in value over the long-term appears to be a smart move.

Finally, the recent struggles of these money managers demonstrates why it's so important that you educate yourself and take an active role in your wealth creation. This doesn't mean you have to devote six hours a day to stock research if that doesn't excite you. However, you should understand the basic concepts of investing and be able to diversify your nest egg beyond simply giving your money to a big-name investor and hoping they can do the work for you. Don't know where to start? The Motley Fool's 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly could be the answer.

Editor's note: A previous version of this article suggested that Fisher Investments is a hedge fund. The Motley Fool regrets the error.

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