No doubt about it -- cyclical businesses can move quickly. When times are bad, they are really bad, and when business picks up, it can often do so in a flash. And now that commercial-construction activity is on the upswing, JLG
Sales for the third quarter climbed 59% on U.S. sales growth of 54% and overseas growth of 75%. All of the company's margins were strong, and net income grew by more than 160% from the year-ago level. Growth in earnings per share didn't quite match up, thanks in large part to an equity offering that added to the share count, though it was still more than double the year-ago level and ahead of estimates.
JLG has made these strides despite high steel costs that it hasn't been able to recover entirely. Even though net unrecovered steel costs declined sequentially -- from just under $27 million to just over $8 million -- that still constitutes a meaningful hit to earnings.
In my analysis, there's no doubt that JLG is benefiting from an upturn in the worldwide commercial-construction market. In particular, JLG continues to see strong rental-fleet refreshment as construction activity picks up.
Similar to what we've seen with heavy-machinery specialist Caterpillar
Company executives, to their credit, are using this boom to clean up the balance sheet. Not only are receivables and inventory levels looking better, but the company also cut net debt by about $230 million and exited the quarter with a net debt-to-total capital ratio of 12% -- the best ratio for the company in quite a while.
As we at The Motley Fool have discussed at length in the past, valuing and buying cyclical companies is tricky. You have to go against logical instinct, buying when things look terrible and selling when things look great. Given that analysts expect JLG's earnings to double next year, the company doesn't appear to be at a peak, but it's equally true that the cat is out of the bag with respect to the recovery.
There are other signs of life in the construction industry:
- Hughes is growing, but the stock is lagging.
- Demand for large construction projects is starting to boost Fluor.
- More construction should mean more demand for UFPI's lumber.
Fool contributor Stephen Simpson has no financial interest in any stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares).