In 1999, the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA or Fannie Mae) wanted to make home loans more accessible to those with low credit ratings and less money to spend on down payments than lenders typically required. Lenders offered these subprime borrowers mortgages with payment terms that reflected their elevated risk profiles, such as high interest rates and variable payment schedules.
This increased availability of mortgage debt appealed to both previously ineligible borrowers and investors, fueling explosive growth in mortgage originations and home sales. At the same time, consumers -- many of them new homeowners -- took on additional debt to buy other goods. Companies seeking to capitalize on the opportunities afforded by the surging economy also borrowed heavily. Additionally, financial institutions used cheap debt to boost the returns on their investments.
The debt-fueled stock market began to show signs of an impending collapse in March 2007, when the investment bank Bear Stearns was unable to cover losses tied to subprime mortgages. Bear Stearns' failure was not, by itself, enough to cause the stock market to crash -- it kept rising to 14,164 points on Oct. 9, 2007 -- but by September 2008, the major stock indexes had lost almost 20% of their value. The Dow didn't reach its lowest point, which was 54% below its peak, until March 6, 2009. It then took four years for the Dow to fully recover from the crash.
COVID-19 crash of 2020