Wow. That was unpleasant.
Like many investors, I spent much of Tuesday wondering: "What the heck is going on with Corning
Which explains why not just Corning, but also AU Optronics
Almost. Sure, Collins Stewart explained the otherwise inexplicable sell-off. As it turned out, though, this was only the first shoe to drop. The other one fell Wednesday, when Corning cut guidance (and investors slashed its share price to ribbons). Here's the skinny:
- Corning sliced 5% off of its revenue projections for the fiscal third quarter and now expects to book about $1.6 billion in revenue.
- Because the company has relatively high fixed costs, reductions in revenue have a disproportionate effect on profits at Corning. Hence, a 5% revenue reduction will yield about a 10% reduction in earnings. Corning's now looking for about $0.44 per share (before items).
- Gross margins in particular are expected to come in more than 300 basis points lighter than previously thought. Rough guess: 47%.
Who's to blame?
Corning blames the "set assemblers" -- companies like Sharp, Sony
You. "Supply glut" is just another way of saying "buyer's market." With everybody upstream desperate to move inventory, consumers like you should see lower prices on the LCD TV sets lining the aisles at Best Buy
Also benefiting: You, the investor. (Lucky you!) Thanks to the warning on Wednesday, you now have the chance to own Corning for the low, low price of five times earnings. Not bad for a projected 15% grower.
So who says supply gluts are bad news?
Why do Fools love Corning, whatever it reports? If you have to ask, you must not have yet read our interview with the CEO:
Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of, nor is he short, any company named above. Best Buy is both an Inside Value and a Stock Advisor selection. The Motley Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Now please sit quietly and don't interrupt while we read you The Motley Fool's disclosure policy.