Using a financial calculator produces the sum of the present values of Apple's future cash flows: $140.46.
Other valuation methods to use
In the end, DCF modeling is just one way to evaluate a stock. And, as mentioned earlier, DCF models are not perfect valuation tools. They don't provide all the answers, but they can give us ideas about what we should pay for our investments.
The right approach might be to use a combination of valuation methods to evaluate stocks. To be clear, none of them are perfect. Unfortunately, there's no such thing as a 100% reliable stock valuation method. If there were, we'd all get rich very quickly and easily. This is certainly not an exhaustive list, but here are some of the other popular valuation methods:
- Dividend discount model: This type of model uses a stock's current dividend rate, estimated future dividend growth, and the company's cost of capital to estimate the stock's theoretical value. Using a dividend discount model can be a smart way to calculate the value of dividend-paying stocks and is especially useful if a stock's dividend is the primary reason you're interested in the stock. But using this valuation method has some obvious and significant shortcomings since the percentages of profits that dividend stocks pay always vary. Future dividend payments or dividend growth is not guaranteed, and the cost of capital can be extremely difficult to accurately predict.
- Residual income model: This type of model values a company based on its estimated future income. Some companies don't have positive cash flows (or earnings) and don't pay dividends, so the discounted cash flow and dividend discount models don't work very well. In these cases, the residual income model is best.
Beyond these options, there is no shortage of other valuation methods, which is why, if you ask 10 different analysts what a particular stock is worth, you're likely to get 10 different answers.
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