What are the types of economic indicators?
Economic indicators come in three forms: leading, lagging, and coincident. Each of these indicators is important to understanding the full picture since no single indicator can tell you how an economy is doing or if a recession is occurring, for example.
Leading economic indicators are used to help predict where the economy is going. They show you what’s possible if the indicator continues on that same trajectory. Lagging indicators are the opposite; they can show you where the economy has been and generally can only be measured after the fact, like unemployment rates for a particular area or country during a particular time frame.
Coincident indicators tend to happen in real time and are monitored as such. They are like windows into the economy’s actual functioning at any given time but are difficult to use to predict any future activity or to review mistakes (or successes) of the past. GDP is a coincident indicator that is often used to gauge where countries stand compared to each other.
How are economic indicators chosen?
Economic indicators are generally chosen by economists to help solve particular problems in economics. For example, if they wanted to know how well the United States was doing in manufacturing compared to China, they could easily compare specific indicators that speak to that industry in both countries. They might look at indicators that delve into different kinds of manufacturing activity or the cost of manufacturing and the debt load of manufacturing businesses.
There are dozens of commonly used indicators, so there’s always some bit of information that’s exactly what’s needed to approach an economic problem. Much like the right equations in math solve specific problems, these indicators can help answer questions about economies.
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