Aggressive growth stocks can produce market-beating returns by disrupting industries and taking advantage of big, new trends, but there are risks. High-growth companies often spend more money than they make to stay ahead of competitors, and that means there's little money left over to reward investors with earnings, share repurchases, or dividends. That situation can lead to stomach churning volatility, so picking the right growth stocks to buy is important.
To help you find the best growth stocks, we asked three Motley Fool investors for their top picks. They recommended Xilinx (XLNX), NV5 Global (NVEE 0.14%), and Aurora Cannabis (ACB 0.22%). Are these stocks right for your growth portfolio?
Check out the latest earnings call transcripts for Xilinx, NV5 Global, and other companies we cover.
Custom programming for AI and the cloud
Nicholas Rossolillo (Xilinx): Semiconductor outfit Xilinx invented the field programmable chip back in the 1980s, but recently the technology has really started to take off. That's due to the advent of artificial intelligence (AI), especially in data centers and resulting cloud computing services. The ability to customize and reprogram these chips is winning lots of new customers, a trend that could continue to pick up steam as AI-powered computing increases in importance.
Xilinx is winning in other areas, too, partnering with Samsung (NASDAQOTH: SSNLF) to bring new 5G mobile network technology to market. The automotive and consumer industries are also growing rapidly. Over the next three years, Xilinx expects its addressable market to grow 13% a year, from about $14 billion right now to $23 billion in 2022.
That has already led to massive growth in the past year. Through Xilinx's the first three quarters of the 2019 fiscal year, the company's sales and earnings per share have soared 22% and 106%, respectively. As a result, the stock is up 76% over the last trailing 12-month stretch as of this writing. Despite the big return, though, there could be plenty left in the tank.
Wall Street seems to agree, and Xilinx shares thus trade at a premium of 33.7 times free cash flow (money left over after basic operating expenses and capital expenses are paid for). A fair amount of future growth is therefore already priced in at this point. However, demand for field programmable chips is expected to keep rising in the coming years, and Xilinx is handily in the lead in this space. Shares could continue to soar if the company can keep demonstrating its capabilities in AI and cloud computing.
A high-growth stock to buy on the dip
Jason Hall (NV5 Global): Since its peak in late summer of 2018, shares of infrastructure engineering company NV5 Global have fallen more than 30%. Or to be more accurate, they fell by 30%, gained 45%, and then fell sharply a second time:
Of course, the first drop was part of the bigger stock market correction that saw the S&P 500 lose 20% of its value from early October to late December of last year. But that second drop was completely the market's reaction to NV5's fourth quarter earnings report in early March.
Or to be more accurate, it was the market's reaction to management's guidance for 2019 sales, as well as some concern over the company's mention of a "material weakness" it had uncovered in its financial controls.
Either way you slice it, the giant sell-off represents a great opportunity to buy shares of this high-growth company at an attractive price. The company is calling for sales to grow 15% to 24% and for adjusted earnings to grow 8% to 21% in 2019, which isn't something to sneeze at. Based on the current share price, you can buy NV5 for between 21 and 24 times guidance for 2019 GAAP earnings per share, expected to be between $2.44 and $2.85 per share.
Since going public just over five years ago, NV5 has already delivered massive gains for investors:
But the global infrastructure business is multiple trillions of dollars per year in size, and the company just reached $400 million in sales last year. Despite the big returns so far, there's a lot of growth still ahead.
Capitalize on cannabis
Todd Campbell (Aurora Cannabis): It's not every day that investors can invest early on in a multibillion-dollar market that already exists. But that's what's happening with marijuana, a market opportunity worth $150 billion worldwide that's only now emerging from the shadows.
In the past, marijuana prohibition meant investors couldn't profit from pot, but legalization is gaining steam following the opening of Canada's recreational market last fall, making publicly traded cannabis companies attractive. One of the most intriguing of these companies is Aurora Cannabis, the second largest Canadian cannabis company by sales.
Aurora Cannabis' quarter-over-quarter sales surged to $54 million Canadian from CA$35 million in the fourth quarter, and that's probably only scratching the surface, given that Canadians spend over CA$5 billion illegally on marijuana every year. The company's marijuana production was 7,822 kilos last quarter, but its annualized production reached 120,000 kilos in February, and its peak funded-marijuana production because of expansion plans exceeds 570,000 kilos annually.
It's not just Canada that makes Aurora Cannabis intriguing, either. To make sure it doesn't miss out on the global marijuana opportunity, it's expanding into Europe and South America. It also hired billionaire consumer-goods investor Nelson Peltz recently to help it lock up deals that conceivably could tap the massive $50 billion U.S. marijuana market someday.
Admittedly, Aurora Cannabis has issued a lot of shares to acquire competitors in the past, diluting investors along the way, and its losses are likely to continue because of its expansion plans. However, it's in the early innings for legal marijuana companies, and given that billions of dollars are up for grabs, I think Aurora Cannabis is a top stock worth owning in risk-tolerant growth portfolios.