What happened

Shares of Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) rose 10.3% in June, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, modestly outpacing the S&P 500's 7% gain, after one of its peers agreed to be acquired.

The stock surged more than 6% on June 10 alone when data-visualization specialist Tableau Software (NYSE:DATA) announced Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) would acquire it in an all-stock deal commanding an enterprise value of roughly $15.7 billion (net of cash).

Panoramic display of flat screen TVs showing Splunk's logo and headquarters office.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

So what

To be clear, this doesn't mean Splunk is guaranteed to be acquired next. But it was hard to blame traders for bidding up the stock after coupling Tableau's acquisition with the deal's potential -- however slight -- to bolster mergers and acquisitions in the data-analysis space.

It's also worth noting that Splunk still hasn't fully recovered from its more than 17% plunge in May, when cash flow concerns overshadowed a better-than-expected first-quarter report and increased full-year guidance. However, the concerns were driven by a surprising acceleration in Splunk's shift to renewable bookings and cloud-based subscriptions, both of which should leave the company much stronger and with more predictable revenue streams in the end.

Now what

Splunk hasn't announced the timing of its fiscal second-quarter 2019 report -- though if its past Q2 reports are any indication, it should arrive in late August. Unless the company offers a preliminary update between now and then, I think the stock will likely move in tandem with its peers and the broader markets. But even after last month's pop, it could be an enticing buy before the true strength of its business becomes more clear.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.