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Why NIO Stock Is Higher Today

By John Rosevear – Aug 9, 2021 at 1:43PM

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Analysts are looking ahead to earnings, and one expects a positive surprise.

What happened

Shares of Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO (NIO 3.75%) were trading higher on Monday, after a Wall Street analyst shared an upbeat outlook for the company ahead of its second-quarter earnings report. 

As of 1 p.m. EDT today, NIO's American depositary shares were up about 3% from Friday's closing price.

So what

In a new note released on Monday morning, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu said that he expects NIO's second-quarter results to come in above Wall Street's consensus estimate. NIO will report its results after the U.S. markets close on Wednesday, Aug. 9. 

Yu and his team estimate that NIO will report a loss of 0.44 Chinese yuan per share (about $0.07) on revenue of 8.57 billion Chinese yuan ($1.32 billion). Both numbers would be better than Wall Street expects. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters currently expect NIO to report a loss of $0.11 per share on revenue of $1.28 billion. 

That wouldn't be a radical surprise, but it's a reason for optimism, and that's probably why the stock is trading higher today. 

A NIO ES6, an upscale five-passenger electric SUV, is shown leading a NIO EC6 on a mountain road.

NIO's sales leaders are the midsize ES6, foreground, and its sporty EC6 sibling. Image source: NIO.

Now what

While Yu and his team expect NIO to beat Wall Street's estimates, they're not so upbeat about the company's prospects for high growth in the third quarter amid an ongoing global shortage of semiconductors. 

Yu's team expects that NIO will guide to about 25,000 deliveries in the third quarter, which would be up 14.2% from 21,896 in the second quarter, with revenue between 9 billion yuan and 9.5 billion yuan ($1.39 billion to $1.46 billion). That's not bad growth, but it's not what auto investors might have reason to expect absent the chip shortage. 

We'll find out more when NIO reports on Wednesday evening. 

John Rosevear has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends NIO Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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