Quantum computing is gradually transitioning from research to commercialization. D-Wave Quantum (QBTS 8.10%) stands out as it is already running quantum-annealing-based production workloads for business and government customers.
By focusing on solving optimization problems rather than pursuing general-purpose quantum computing from the outset, D-Wave is already experiencing robust adoption.
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Commercial traction
D-Wave's revenue rose nearly 100% in its recent quarter, to $3.7 million, while GAAP gross margin exceeded 70%.
NYSE: QBTS
Key Data Points
The company's Advantage2 annealing platform is now in full production, enabling the optimization of larger and more complex problems than prior generations. D-Wave says more than 20.6 million customer problems have already been run on Advantage2 prototypes.
D-Wave now serves over 100 revenue-generating customers, including two dozen Forbes Global 2000 companies. The company has also signed a 10 million-euro, five-year contract with Swiss Quantum Technology, , providing multiyear revenue visibility.
At the same time, D-Wave is also working on developing its own fault-tolerant gate-model-based quantum system (a design approach to develop a general-purpose quantum computer). With $836 million in cash on its balance sheet, the company has the financial flexibility to pursue near-term commercialization as well as the development of this computer.
10-bagger potential
Still, becoming a 10-bagger stock appears to be a low-probability outcome for D-Wave Quantum, especially in the absence of a commercially viable fault-tolerant gate-model-based quantum system needed for broad-based enterprise adoption.
D-Wave is already trading at 423 times sales, a valuation that incorporates a significant portion of the future growth. Even assuming analysts' aggressive fiscal 2030 revenue estimate of $590 million and a more reasonable price-to-sales multiple of 30 (in line with the top-performing artificial intelligence companies in 2025), the resulting market capitalization would still fall well short of a 10-times increase from its current market cap.
Yet, the stock may still appeal as an attractive niche addition to a diversified and large investment portfolio for investors seeking upside.
