Welcome to the U.S. equity markets, Under Armour
Wall Street Wisdom:
- General consensus. Not yet public three months, this sportswear apparelier has already attracted a half-dozen analysts to its books. Strangely, none of them have much of an opinion on the company: unanimous hold ratings.
- Revenues. Analysts are looking for 21% quarterly sales growth tomorrow, in comparison with last year. The consensus target is $78.9 million.
- Earnings. Profits are expected to drop year over year, down sharply from $0.18 to $0.07.
Margin watch:
Because of its recent entry onto the market, data providers haven't had a chance to fully crunch its historical numbers. Capital IQ does, however, give us a picture of the company's margin performance for the past year. Here's how it looks:
|
Margins % |
12/04 |
3/05 |
6/05 |
9/05 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gross |
46.5 |
46.8 |
47.1 |
48.3 |
|
Op. |
12.4 |
12.1 |
11.8 |
12.4 |
|
Net |
8 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
Get to know 'em:
Under Armour's short history doesn't tell us much more than that gross margins are strengthening -- a strength that hasn't yet dropped to the bottom line. Under Armour's seasonality may be a more helpful insight into its operations:
|
6/04 |
9/04 |
12/04 |
3/05 |
6/05 |
9/05 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Revenues |
35.1 |
65.4 |
69.6 |
53.6 |
53.6 |
86.6 |
|
Net profits |
1.7 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
8.4 |
Although it's growing strongly, the company clearly has a seasonal business, with strong sales and profits in the September and December quarters and weaker numbers in March and June. Tomorrow's news will report on the December 2005 results, so it's a safe bet that they'll look very good (once you net out the exceptional costs related to the IPO.)
Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of Under Armour.