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Why Did Cabela's Incorporated Shares Gain 12% in June?

By Daniel B. Kline - Jul 3, 2017 at 8:10AM

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The company has a deal to be acquired by Bass Pro Shops.

After some complicated struggles that had Cabela's (CAB) divesting itself of its credit card business, it appears that deal for the company to be purchased by Bass Pro Shops will move ahead. That news has cheered nervous investors, because there have been times since the deal was announced when it appeared it wouldn't happen.

CAB Chart

Image source: YCharts.

What happened

Shares in Cabela's have been moving upward since late April, when the company reached two important deals. First, it lowered its sale price to Bass Pro Shops by half a billion dollars to reflect its weakening business. Second, the company reached a deal with Synovus Financial to purchase its credit card portfolio after a similar deal with Capital One Financial looked as if regulators wouldn't approve it.

Two campers sit in the woods, surrounded by their camping gear.

Bass Pro Shops and Cabela both sell camping and fishing gear. Image source: Getty Images.

So what

Under the terms of the amended deal, Cabela's will be acquired for $61.50 per share in cash. The transaction, which still requires federal regulatory approval, is expected to close in the third quarter of 2017. Once an acquisition deal has been announced, shares generally trade around or a little below the purchase price, based on the level of uncertainty associated with the transaction.

Cabela's shares closed May at $52.82 after recovering in that month, once it became clear the bank issue wouldn't sink in the deal. The stock continued to rise in June, closing the month at $59.42, a 12% gain, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Now what

Shares are still trading below the sale price. They're likely to continue to rise after Cabela's shareholders vote on the acquisition on July 11. There's little reason to believe they won't approve the deal.

That leaves federal regulators as the only wild card, and it's hard to know if they will demand any concessions. Given the many recent bankruptcies in the sporting-goods and outdoor products spaces, there's a small chance regulators don't want to see the amount of choices available to consumers to get smaller. That's not very likely, though, given that Bass Pro will still face significant brick-and-mortar and digital competition after the deal closes.

Daniel Kline has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Cabela's Incorporated Stock Quote
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