How to use forward P/E
Calculating the forward P/E of a stock isn’t very useful in and of itself. To get something out of it, you need to calculate the forward P/E of other comparable stocks.
Comparing the forward P/E of two or more companies within the same industry can give you an idea of whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. If one stock has a P/E far greater than its peers, the stock might not be a very good deal.
But there are good reasons why a stock may have a high forward P/E. If analysts expect that company’s earnings per share to grow significantly faster than its peers, it’ll value the next 12 months of earnings far higher than a slow-growing company. That’s because a stock price reflects all the future cash flows of a business, not just the next 12 months.
It’s important to consider that a forward P/E uses earnings per share, or EPS, in the denominator. EPS is itself a ratio, which is affected by the number of shares outstanding. So, if a company has plans to buy back a large percentage of its shares outstanding through a share repurchase program, investors may be willing to pay more for its earnings today.
Related investing topics