Are bank stocks cyclical?

The short answer is yes. Bank stocks are generally affected by recessions for several reasons. First, interest rates tend to fall during recessions. Second, and more importantly, unemployment tends to rise during recessions, and more consumers run into financial trouble. However, the longer answer is that every bank is different. Consumer banking (accepting deposits and making loans) is highly cyclical, especially for banks that specialize in riskier forms of lending, such as credit cards. On the other hand, investment banking tends to perform even better during turbulent times, so banks with large investment banking operations tend to see profits hold up quite well.

Are bank stocks a good investment?

Bank stocks can be a good long-term investment, but it's important to know that banking is a cyclical business. Bank stocks can perform poorly during recessions, but better during strong economic climates.

Should I invest in bank stocks for growth or income?

Bank stocks can be great for both growth and income. Banks can grow over time as their assets grow and margins expand, and most major bank stocks pay regular dividends to shareholders.

Are bank stocks expected to rise?

It is reasonable to expect your bank stocks to rise over multi-year periods. But over the short term, bank stocks can be rather volatile, rising and falling unpredictably.

Best Bank Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest

Q: How do banks make money?

At their core, banks make their money in two main ways -- commercial banking and investment banking. Commercial banking refers to the banking products and services that banks provide to individuals and businesses. Investment banking refers to the services a bank provides to corporations, governments, high-net-worth individuals, and other entities that go beyond commercial banking activities.

By Matthew Frankel, CFP – Updated Jul 7, 2026 at 8:36 AM EST | Fact-checked by Frank Bass

Key Points

Bank of America shows strong loan growth and digital expansion, positioned well for economic recovery.
JPMorgan Chase leads in profitability with diverse operations and technological investments.
U.S. Bancorp focuses on consumer banking, consistently delivering robust profitability and dividends.

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Ticker Information Table
Name and ticker	Market capMarket cap calculated using publicly traded shares outstanding only. Does not include unlisted, private, or dual-class non-traded shares. Implied market cap may vary.	Dividend yield	Industry
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC)	$413.7 billion	1.92%	Banks
JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM)	$885.9 billion	1.81%	Banks
U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB)	$95.0 billion	3.41%	Banks
Citigroup (NYSE:C)	$235.6 billion	1.75%	Banks
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI)	$22.7 billion	0.00%	Consumer Finance

Data as of Jul 9, 2026. Showing 5 of 5 total entries.

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1. Bank of America

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NYSE: BAC

Bank of America

Today's Change

(-2.61%) $-1.56

Current Price

$58.30

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$414B

Day's Range

$58.30 - $59.56

52wk Range

$44.75 - $60.83

Volume

29.8M

Avg Vol

36M

Dividend Yield

1.92%

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Bank of America has become one of the strongest banks in the United States in the post-financial crisis era. In recent years, the bank has grown its loan portfolio at rates well ahead of its peers, and it has made major efficiency improvements while expanding its online and mobile capabilities.

Bank of America's asset quality is also excellent, and although its deposit costs are relatively low, margins have been pressured lately by elevated interest rates. However, Bank of America is an incredibly profitable bank, and could see nice tailwinds in its business as rates normalize and consumer confidence increases.

Bank of America isn't completely immune to economic headwinds. However, it is well-positioned to weather most storms, with an excellent retail banking operation and an investment bank that benefits from market volatility.

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2. JPMorgan Chase

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NYSE: JPM

JPMorgan Chase

Today's Change

(-2.54%) $-8.60

Current Price

$330.62

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$886B

Day's Range

$330.13 - $336.53

52wk Range

$279.10 - $343.45

Volume

18.5M

Avg Vol

9.1M

Dividend Yield

1.81%

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JPMorgan Chase is hands-down the most profitable of the big U.S. banks, and it's also the largest bank by market capitalization and total assets in the U.S. The bank operates in nearly every area of both commercial and investment banking, and it has done a particularly good job of expanding its credit card and auto loan businesses in recent years. JPMorgan Chase has also done an excellent job of embracing new technologies and has made key investments in financial technology (fintech) companies.

Although the company's Chase consumer banking operation is massive, JPMorgan Chase also has one of the largest investment banks in the United States.

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3. U.S. Bancorp

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NYSE: USB

U.S. Bancorp

Today's Change

(-3.00%) $-1.89

Current Price

$61.00

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$95B

Day's Range

$60.60 - $62.49

52wk Range

$43.46 - $63.39

Volume

7.4M

Avg Vol

9.1M

Dividend Yield

3.41%

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U.S. Bancorp is primarily a commercial bank, with income from loans and other consumer banking products making up virtually all of its revenue. Not only is U.S. Bancorp (known to most Americans as U.S. Bank) focused on consumer banking, but it consistently produces some of the most impressive profitability and efficiency metrics in the sector and has been an excellent dividend stock for investors.

Because it doesn't depend on investment banking, which is generally the more volatile side of the banking business, U.S. Bancorp's profitability and revenue tend to be more predictable and consistent than those of the other two banks on this list.

U.S. Bancorp is largely dependent on interest income, and margins have come under pressure amid elevated interest rates. However, it's important to note that U.S. Bancorp has an excellent track record of sound risk management and could be a strong consumer-focused bank stock to own for the long term.

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4. Citigroup

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NYSE: C

Citigroup

Today's Change

(-2.40%) $-3.38

Current Price

$137.39

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$236B

Day's Range

$137.15 - $140.24

52wk Range

$85.61 - $147.96

Volume

9.8M

Avg Vol

12M

Dividend Yield

1.75%

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Citigroup (C -2.28%) has been a bank in turnaround for some time, but its most impressive progress has come in recent quarters. In 2025, Citi's revenue grew approximately 8% year over year, and thanks to significant efficiency and structural improvements, the bank's earnings increased by 35%.

All of Citigroup's businesses are performing well. It holds a top-five market share in U.S. credit cards, retail banking, investment banking fees, fixed-income trading, and several other areas.

Despite excellent progress in its turnaround, Citi is still the cheapest of the "Big Four" U.S. banks by a wide margin on a price-to-book basis. To be clear, there's still a lot to be done, but Citigroup could be an excellent value for patient investors.

5. SoFi Technologies

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NASDAQ: SOFI

SoFi Technologies

Today's Change

(-0.14%) $-0.03

Current Price

$17.73

Key Data Points

Market Cap

$23B

Day's Range

$17.08 - $17.73

52wk Range

$14.92 - $32.73

Volume

2.4M

Avg Vol

73.7M

Gross Margin

61.74%

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Bank stock FAQ

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About the Author

Matt Frankel, CFP®, is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst specializing in the real estate and financial sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Matt taught high school and college mathematics. He holds a bachelor’s degree in physics from the University of South Carolina, a master’s degree in mathematics from Nova Southeastern University, and a graduate certificate in financial planning from Florida State University. He won a SABEW award for coverage of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. He is also regularly interviewed by Cheddar, Globe St, The National Desk, and other TV networks and publications for his real estate, financial, stock market, and investing expertise.

TMFMattFrankel

@MattFrankelUSC

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Matt Frankel, CFP has positions in American Express, Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway, and SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and U.S. Bancorp. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Best Bank Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest