NPL ratio for evaluating non-performing loans
The NPL ratio is the metric commonly used to evaluate a lender's non-performing loan balance.
To calculate the NPL ratio, divide the non-performing loan balance by the lender's total loan portfolio. For example, a bank with $100 million in outstanding loans and $1 million in non-performing status has an NPL ratio of 1%.
A lender's NPL ratio is influenced by macroeconomic factors as well as the lender's underwriting policies. NPL ratios rise with higher inflation, rising unemployment, and slowing economic growth. This is why peer and historical comparisons of the NPL ratio are necessary. An NPL ratio of 1% can look poor or great -- depending on the economy.
For context, the NPL ratio of the entire U.S. in 2022 was 0.7%, according to the World Bank. But in 2009, in the wake of the financial crisis, the nationwide NPL ratio was 5%.
If a lender's NPL ratio is much higher than the current norm, that's likely related to underwriting issues. High-risk lending can cause a lender's NPL ratio to rise over time when economic conditions are positive. Risky lending practices are also associated with bank failures, including the 2023 shutdown of Silicon Valley Bank.
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