Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Why ViacomCBS Stock Just Dropped 11%

By Rich Smith - Jan 28, 2021 at 3:45PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Analysts duel over TV company's prospects.

What happened

Analysts are dueling over the future of CBS -- more precisely, ViacomCBS (PARA 1.73%) -- and for today at least, it looks like the bears are having the better of the argument.

Shares of ViacomCBS stock are down 11.6% at 3:30 p.m. EST Thursday.

Glowing red stock chart arrow trending down

Image source: Getty Images.

So what

The debate over CBS stock began in the dead of night Wednesday, when analysts at Credit Suisse cut their rating on the stock to "underperform" (i.e. sell) after close of trading. As TheFly.com reports, CS is more optimistic than most analysts about improvements in the television advertising market, and believes the rate at which subscribers cancel their paid-for television subscriptions (i.e. cable) is slowing. Nevertheless, CS argues that CBS stock has risen too far, too fast, over the last three months, and the stock is now overpriced -- and worth only $37 a share.

Taking the other side of the debate, this morning Macquarie raised its own price target on CBS stock from $37 to $46. As Macquarie sees it, while media stocks have appreciated sharply of late, this only returns the industry -- and CBS in particular -- to its average historical valuations.

Now what

Although Macquarie seems relatively more of a fan of CBS than does Credit Suisse, even Macquarie's higher price target of $46 implies about 7% downside risk in the stock over the next 12 months -- and little chance that the stock will go higher. Macquarie only rated the stock "neutral," therefore, the implication is that even Macquarie isn't particularly enthusiastic about the stock.

With ViacomCBS at more than 21 times earnings and carrying a massive debt load of $18.4 billion net of cash on hand, Macquarie's probably right to be cautious. ViacomCBS is not a cheap stock.

Value investors should avoid it.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Paramount Global Stock Quote
Paramount Global
PARA
$32.35 (1.73%) $0.55

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning service.

Stock Advisor Returns
322%
 
S&P 500 Returns
116%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 05/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.