Retail stocks give you exposure to how consumers spend on essentials, discretionary purchases, and everything in between. The past few years have been a stress test for the industry: pandemic-era demand shifts, supply chain issues, and inflation all reshaped the landscape.
Now that conditions have cooled, the biggest winners are the retailers with scale, strong omnichannel operations, and clear competitive advantages.
Here are four retail leaders worth considering, plus what to know before investing.
Top retail stocks to consider
There are hundreds of publicly traded retailers, but these seven look like excellent long-term buys for investors.
| Company ticker | Market cap | Dividend yield | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| NASDAQ:AMZN | $2.3 trillion | 0.00% | Multiline Retail |
| NYSE:HD | $331.2 billion | 2.78% | Specialty Retail |
| NASDAQ:ULTA | $23.3 billion | 0.00% | Specialty Retail |
| NASDAQ:WMT | $981.1 billion | 0.77% | Food and Staples Retailing |
1. Amazon
NASDAQ: AMZN
Key Data Points
As the preeminent e-commerce retailer, Amazon (AMZN -1.46%) got its start selling books and now operates a marketplace enabling the online buying and selling of almost everything. Amazon also owns Whole Foods Market, which gives it a ready-made network of brick-and-mortar retail stores to further engage customers.
In addition to growing its business, Amazon is focused on boosting productivity and trimming expenses. The bottom line has benefited tremendously. Amazon also has the leading cloud services platform, Amazon Web Services (AWS), which is the fastest-growing (and most profitable) part of its business.
With its immense scale, the online retail giant is well-positioned to lead the e-commerce market in the long run. Smaller players without Amazon's scale and logistical muscle have struggled to compete, and that isn't likely to change anytime soon.
2. Home Depot
NYSE: HD
Key Data Points
The home improvement retailer is best known for its big box warehouse stores and extensive inventory. Serving both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional contractors, Home Depot (HD -1.51%) is consistently expanding both sales and earnings. The company has done an excellent job with omnichannel retail, featuring options such as ship-to-store and in-store pickup for mobile orders.
Home Depot's sales growth has been weak for several years, reflecting slowing consumer spending after surging demand for renovation and remodeling projects during the pandemic. In the fourth quarter of 2025, comparable sales in the United States increased by just 0.3% year-over-year. Consumers continue to spend on smaller projects, but spending in big-ticket categories is weakening.
Elevated interest rates are a significant contributor to this lull, as they erode household spending power and make it challenging to tap into home equity to fund costly projects. However, in the long run, the company has ample room to grow within a fragmented industry.
3. Ulta Beauty
NASDAQ: ULTA
Key Data Points
Tapping into the trend of providing experiences that lure shoppers into stores, Ulta Beauty (ULTA +0.14%) offers in-store salon services. The concept has taken off, and its stores were attracting a large number of customers before the pandemic struck.
Ulta's sales remain strong in a challenging environment for discretionary spending, with net sales up approximately 12% year over year in the latest quarter. Some of the growth stemmed from new store openings, but comparable sales increased by 5.8%, an impressive figure given the prevailing economic uncertainty.
Total revenue is expected to exceed $13 billion for the current fiscal year. A recession would likely hurt sales and profits in the short term, but Ulta's long-term growth prospects are very much intact.
With all of that in mind, Ulta could be well-positioned to thrive as inflation continues to cool and interest rates decline. Management appears to believe the stock is a bargain and spent nearly $900 million on buybacks in 2025.
4. Walmart
NASDAQ: WMT
Key Data Points
Walmart (NYSE:WMT) is a retail business that works in good times and bad. It's always a home for bargain-seekers, but it can do even better in times of inflation and economic weakness, when shoppers are compelled to cut back on spending. In fact, Walmart's resilient business model enabled it to be the top-performing S&P 500 stock during the 2008 financial crisis.
Not only is the business resilient, but Walmart has done a fantastic job of building out its omnichannel platform. Its pickup and delivery options are among the best-run in the industry, and the company's results continue to show impressive growth for a mature company.
In fact, in the latest fiscal quarter, Walmart's revenue grew by nearly 6% year over year, led by 24% growth in global e-commerce volume.
5. Casey's General Stores
Casey's General Stores (CASY -0.67%) is a leading operator of convenience stores, with about 2,900 locations in 19 states. It offers a variety of groceries, fresh foods, and self-service fuel.
NASDAQ: CASY
Key Data Points
One interesting point about Casey's is that it focuses on rural areas where it is generally the only store of its kind. Casey's has raised its dividend for 26 consecutive years and has steadily grown earnings. It has an excellent balance sheet and continues to grow its footprint, and there's no reason to think that will change anytime soon.
In its most recent quarter, Casey's same-store sales grew by 4%, inside-store (non-fuel) margins increased by about 130 basis points, and fuel profits increased by about 15%.
6. TJX Companies
Best known for its namesake TJ Maxx brand of off-price clothing and home accessories retail store, TJX Companies (TJX -0.81%) is also the parent company of fellow discount brands Marshalls and HomeGoods.
NYSE: TJX
Key Data Points
Its discount-oriented nature and the "treasure hunt" feel of its shopping experience help make its stores resistant to e-commerce competitors and give it an advantage during recessions or tough financial times. Management sees room for many more stores in the U.S. and internationally and does an excellent job of prioritizing capital returns to shareholders, including a rising dividend and opportunistic buybacks.
In the latest quarter, TJX reported comparable sales growth of 5%, a good reflection of how well the company is positioned when consumers feel a bit squeezed. Margins improved significantly, and adjusted EPS grew 16% year over year.
7. Costco
NASDAQ: COST
Key Data Points
Costco (COST +1.06%) doesn't need much of an introduction to most U.S. consumers. It is by far the largest membership-based warehouse club retailer, with massive stores offering groceries, medications, home accessories, and much more. The company operates 924 warehouses, about two-thirds of which are in the United States.
Memberships are Costco's primary profit engine. They cost $65 to $130 per year and create a sticky, reliable recurring revenue stream, with roughly 90% membership renewal rates. Costco's revenue has steadily grown at roughly a 9% annualized rate in recent years, and there could be many years of growth still ahead.
Costco reports its sales on a monthly basis. In January 2026, U.S. comparable-store sales grew 5.8% year over year, and international sales grew even faster.
Risks you should be aware of
Retail stocks can be a great way to profit from consumer strength and the latest trends. However, the main risk factor to be aware of is that retail can be highly cyclical, especially when it comes to discretionary retail (companies that sell items people want, rather than things they need).
There's also a significant risk associated with e-commerce disrupting brick-and-mortar (store-based) retailers. In fact, several once-great retail brands have gone out of business over the past decade, with e-commerce competition being a primary factor.
How to identify strong retail stocks
Instead of trying to predict the “next big trend,” focus on what consistently separates strong retailers from the rest:
- Sales growth: The best retail companies consistently expand the revenue they generate from the products they sell.
- Same-store sales: Same-store sales, or comparable-store sales, is a retail-specific revenue metric that evaluates revenue growth for stores in business for at least a year.
- Earnings growth: A retailer can grow revenue but remain unprofitable. Investors should be cautious about buying shares in retailers that struggle to increase their earnings as measured by earnings per share.
- Seasonality: Many retailers do a large part of their annual business during the holiday season in November and December.
- Real estate metrics: If a retailer owns a lot of real estate, its value can comprise a huge portion of the company's overall worth. Investors can also evaluate how efficiently a retail company uses its real estate with metrics such as sales per square foot.
- Growth of e-commerce sales: The best retailers use their network of stores to their advantage by offering services such as in-store pickup and local delivery. Retail businesses without a strong online presence will likely have increasing difficulty competing with their peers.
- Balance sheet strength: When considering investing in a retailer, look for plenty of cash and manageable debt on its balance sheet.
Strategies for investing in retail stocks
Two approaches tend to work well:
1. Buy businesses with durable advantages.
Focus on retailers that have a durable competitive advantage. For example, Walmart's scale enables it to source products more cost-effectively than its competitors and offer bargains that even e-commerce giants often struggle to match.
Beyond the companies on the list, look for cost advantages, products that don't depend on short-term consumer preferences, and products that people will still buy even if the economy weakens.
2. Build positions over time.
It can be wise to build positions in retail stocks over time, rather than buying all at once. Retail stocks (especially smaller and fast-growing retailers) can be rather volatile over short periods, so by averaging into a position, you can ensure you'll have a mathematically favorable average share price.
Key trends in the retail industry
The retail landscape has evolved considerably over the past few decades and continues to do so. Here's a brief rundown of the key retail trends to keep an eye on in 2026:
- Affordability: To put it mildly, the inflation of the past several years and the somewhat weakening job market have left consumers feeling financially squeezed and uncertain about the future. Discount-oriented retailers have been some of the best performers recently.
- AI and agentic shopping: According to some reports, ChatGPT and other AI tools now make up 15% or more of referral traffic to many retailers. This could certainly increase in the coming years as these tools evolve.
- Omnichannel retail: Customers want the ability to shop online, in-store, and a combination of the two (like ship-to-store or in-store pickup). This has been a major trend of the past decade, and could continue to grow.
Are retail stocks right for you?
It's always fun to invest in companies you know and love, and retail stocks often fit the bill. Focus on the retailers with the strongest business fundamentals -- low debt levels, healthy cash flows, and strong competitive positions -- to give yourself the best chance to make money for your investment portfolio.
Related investing topics
FAQ
Investing in retail stocks FAQ
About the Author
Matt Frankel, CFP has positions in Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Home Depot, Ulta Beauty, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Read Next
