Factors that increase an energy company's durability include:
- A low-risk business model: For oil and natural gas producers, this means having diversified operations and low production costs. Meanwhile, energy infrastructure companies should have stable revenue with minimal exposure to fluctuations in volumes or pricing, such as operations supported by regulated rates or long-term fixed-fee contracts.
- A strong financial profile: Balance sheet factors to consider are a high investment-grade credit rating, lots of liquidity (cash on hand and borrowing capacity), and minimal near-term debt maturities. In addition, an energy company should have a conservative dividend payout ratio compared to its peers.
- Manageable capital spending programs primarily financed with post-dividend free cash flow and prudent use of debt.
Energy companies with these characteristics will be in a better position to withstand the inevitable cyclical downturns. That means they will still be around when market conditions improve. They will also have more flexibility than their weaker peers to capture opportunities that can create value for their investors.
Pros and cons of investing in energy stocks
Investing in energy stocks has its share of benefits and drawbacks. Some of the positives include:
- Growth: Energy demand is growing, especially for lower-carbon energy such as natural gas and renewables.
- Income: Many energy stocks pay high-yielding and steadily rising dividends, making the sector a good spot to collect passive income.
- Inflation hedge: Energy prices tend to rise as inflation increases, making the sector a good hedge against inflation.
On the other hand, the sector has some potential negatives, including:
- Volatility: Energy prices can be very volatile, which can significantly impact energy stock prices.
- Geopolitical risk: The energy industry is susceptible to geopolitical risks from OPEC policy changes, economic sanctions on oil-producing countries, and shifting government energy policies.
- Climate change: Growing climate change concerns could impact demand for fossil fuels in the future.
How to choose the best energy stocks
Here are some important factors to consider when looking for the best energy stocks to buy:
- Financial strength: Given the sector's volatility, investors should look for energy companies with the strongest financial profiles.
- Lower risk business models: Investors should consider energy stocks with lower risk profiles. For example, integrated energy companies are less risky than small independent producers. Likewise, energy midstream companies are less volatile than companies focused on upstream oil and gas production.
- Strong growth profiles: Investors should seek energy companies with visible growth potential from upcoming capital projects or from lower carbon energy demand.